Florida Gators vs UCF Knights Matchup

Check out our free UCF Knights vs Florida Gators pick and preview for this CFB week 6 game in Gainesville. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 6 CFB matchup.

SEC Network will be covering the UCF Knights vs. Florida Gators non-conference matchup in week six of the college football season. Kick-off is set for 7:45 ET from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville. The Gators are the slight underdog at +2.5 points, and the money line odds are currently +113 for the Gators and -135 for UCF. The over/under line is at 61.5 points for this game. UCF comes in with a 3-1 record, while Florida is 2-2 on the season.

Knights vs. Gators Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: UCF Knights at Florida Gators
Where: Gainesville at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Betting Odds UCF -2.5, UCF -135 | FL +113 O/U 61.5

Knights Preview:

UCF enters Week 6 with a 3-1 record, ranked 31st in our power rankings. They have an 88.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season. On the road, the Knights are 1-0, while they’ve split their home games at 1-1.

UCF’s average scoring margin is +14.8 points, and they are 2-1 against the spread. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite.

The over/under line for this week is 61.5 points. UCF’s games have averaged 64.2 points, with their over/under record at 3-0 and an average line of 58.8 points.

Knights Offense Breakdown

UCF’s offense has been dominant on the ground, ranking 2nd in the nation with 326 rushing yards per game. They are 6th in rushing attempts, averaging 52.2 per game. RJ Harvey leads the team with 525 rushing yards, 8 touchdowns, and an impressive 7 yards per carry. UCF is 19th in scoring, averaging 39.5 points per game, and they have converted 50% of their third-down opportunities.

Quarterback KJ Jefferson has thrown for 847 yards, with 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 106. UCF ranks 89th in passing yards per game. Kobe Hudson leads the receivers with 349 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 catches.

Knights Team Defense

UCF's defense is ranked 37th nationally, allowing 24.8 points per game. In their recent game, a 48-21 loss to Colorado, they gave up 48 points and 418 total yards, including 290 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, while forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 251.5 passing yards per game against UCF, completing 67% of their throws. UCF’s defense ranks 12th in the nation against the run, allowing just 82.2 rushing yards per game on 25.2 attempts, the 8th fewest in the country.

Gators Preview:

UCF’s average scoring margin is +14.8 points, and they are 2-1 against the spread. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite.

The over/under line for this week is 61.5 points. UCF’s games have averaged 64.2 points, with their over/under record at 3-0 and an average line of 58.8 points.

Gators Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, Florida’s offense is averaging 31.8 points per game, placing them 42nd in the nation. They are ranked 40th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback DJ Lagway has thrown for 617 yards with four touchdowns and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 109.

Florida ranks 47th in passing yards per game, averaging 278.5 yards, and they are 63rd in rushing, with 147.8 yards per game. Montrell Johnson Jr. leads the ground game with 234 yards and three touchdowns. Elijhah Badger has 305 receiving yards on 14 catches.

Gators Team Defense

Florida's defense will look to improve after allowing 28 points in their recent game against Mississippi State, though they did manage to secure a 45-28 victory. The Gators gave up 294 total yards, including 150 rushing yards on 50 attempts and 144 passing yards, while keeping Mississippi State out of the end zone through the air.

Opponents have averaged 27.2 points per game against Florida this season, with the Gators ranking 132nd nationally in rushing yards allowed per game (189) and 114th in passing yards allowed (236.8). Quarterbacks have completed 65.6% of their passes against Florida, posting a passer rating of 107.

Knights vs Gators Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

UCF has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 33. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
In their last three home games, Florida has averaged 37 points per game while allowing 37. The team's record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Florida has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
UCF has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.