New Orleans Saints vs Washington Commanders Matchup

Read our Commanders vs Saints pick and preview for this NFL pre-season week 15 game in New Orleans. Check out who we like to win and cover the spread in this regular season NFL matchup.

With a money line of -361, the Commanders are heavy favorites on the road against the Saints, with the game kicking off at 1:00 ET on FOX. The Saints' money line odds are +282, and the Commanders are -7.5 point favorites. The over/under line is currently at 43 points for this week 15 NFC matchup. The Saints have a +7.5 point spread as the underdog.

Commanders vs. Saints Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints
Where: New Orleans at Caesars Superdome
Date: Sunday, December 15th
Betting Odds WAS -7.5, WAS -361 | NO +282 O/U 43

Commanders Preview:

Heading into week 15, the Commanders are 8-5, putting them 2nd in the NFC East and 7th in the conference standings. Our projections give Washington an 84.8% chance of making the playoffs, but only a 2% chance of winning the division. The Commanders are 11th in our NFL power rankings.

Washington is 8-4-1 against the spread this season, with a +6.2 scoring margin. They are 6-2 ATS as favorites and 2-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 9-4, with the over hitting in their last two games. Commanders games have averaged 51.7 points, compared to an average line of 46.1.

Commanders Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 15, the Commanders rank 4th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 28.9 points per game. They average 377.6 yards per game, which ranks 5th in the NFL. Despite ranking 24th in passing attempts, they are 18th in passing yards per game with 220.7. On the ground, they are 3rd in rushing yards per game, with 156.9 on 31.8 attempts per game. Washington leads the NFL in red zone attempts, but their 44.1% conversion rate ranks 26th in the league.

Jayden Daniels posted a passer rating of 114 in week 13, throwing for 206 yards and 3 touchdowns on 25/30 passing. Terry McLaurin had 8 catches for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 103 yards on 16 carries. Washington scored 21 points in the first quarter and converted 9 of 14 third downs in their win over the Titans.

Commanders Team Defense

Washington's defense came up with two sacks and held the Titans to just 35 rushing yards on 11 attempts in their 42-19 win. The Commanders' defense was tough to move the ball against through the air as well, allowing just 210 yards passing. Despite this, they did give up two passing touchdowns. Washington's defense limited Tennessee to 19% on third down and came away with seven more quarterback hits than the Titans.

Saints Preview:

With a 5-8 record, the Saints are 3rd in the NFC South, including a 2-3 mark in division play. They rank 29th in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs. New Orleans is 3-4 at home and 2-4 on the road.

Against the spread, the Saints are 5-8, with an average scoring margin of -0.2 points per game. They’ve failed to cover in two straight games, including their week 14 win over the Giants, where they were 5.5-point favorites. Their O/U record stands at 7-6, with the under hitting in two consecutive games.

Saints Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 15, the Saints sit 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in points per game (22.3) and 14th in yards per game (341.5). New Orleans ranks 19th in passing yards per game, with 212.8, and 17th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing yards per game (128.7) and 7th in rushing attempts. The Saints are converting 38% of their third-down attempts, which ranks 15th in the league.

Derek Carr threw for 219 yards (20/31) with one touchdown and one interception in week 14. Alvin Kamara was held to 44 yards on 17 carries, while Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the team with 51 receiving yards. Carr will miss week 15 due to a hand injury, and Chris Olave is also out with a concussion.

Saints Team Defense

The Saints' defense was tough to move the ball against in their 14-11 win over the Giants, as they allowed just 213 passing yards and held New York to a 42.9% completion rate. New Orleans defended the run well, allowing just 112 yards on 23 attempts (4.9 yards per attempt). They also kept the Giants out of the endzone through the air and limited them to just one touchdown overall.

On third downs, the Giants managed to convert just 26.3% of their chances. The Saints' defense also came away with one interception and recorded two sacks in the game. Despite this, the Saints lost the tackles for loss battle, but they did win the quarterback hit differential by +9.

Commanders vs Saints Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, Washington has an ATS record of just 5-4-1. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 25 points per game.
Through their last three home games, New Orleans has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 14 points per game.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Saints have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
The last three games that Washington was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.