New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 3 Patriots vs Commanders pre-season pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in Landover.

On the money line, the Patriots are -247 as they get set to take on the Commanders at 8:00 ET on Sunday, August 25th. The Commanders are the underdog at +199. New England is favored by -4.5 in this one, and the over/under line is at 33.5 points. The Patriots are 1-1 in the pre-season, while the Commanders are 0-2. This non-conference matchup is being televised on NBC.

Patriots vs. Commanders Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: New England Patriots at Washington Commanders
Where: Landover at Commanders Field
Date: Sunday, August 25th
Betting Odds NE -4.5, NE -247 | WAS +199 O/U 33.5

Patriots Preview:

After taking a 10-3 lead into the 4th quarter, the Patriots were outscored 11-3 in the final period, resulting in a 14-13 pre-season loss to the Eagles. New England's record is now 1-1 in the pre-season. The Patriots were favored by -3 at home, and the 27 combined points were lower than the 33.5-point over/under line.

Drake Maye's 4-yard touchdown run late in the 2nd quarter gave the Patriots the lead after Joey Slye's field goal. However, the Eagles tied the game in the 3rd quarter and took the lead for good with a touchdown with 5:41 remaining in the 4th. New England also missed a chance to take the lead with 6:55 remaining in the 4th when Joey Slye missed a 49-yard field goal.

Patriots Offense Breakdown

Struggling to move the ball through the air, the Patriots managed just 90 yards passing in their 14-13 loss to the Eagles. New England's offense was limited to only 11 first downs and 69 yards rushing on 23 attempts. They also failed to find the end zone through the air, with quarterback Drake Maye leading the team with 47 passing yards.

Maye completed 6 of 11 passes (54%) and was sacked twice. Rhamondre Stevenson was the top rusher with 18 yards, while JaMycal Hasty led the team in receiving with 23 yards. The Patriots finished with a 40% third-down conversion rate and managed to score their only touchdown on the ground.

Patriots Team Defense

In their 14-13 loss to the Eagles, the Patriots' defense allowed just 16 first downs and limited Philadelphia to 73 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Despite this, New England lost the game. The Patriots' defense also recorded five sacks and held the Eagles to a 31.2% third-down conversion rate. In the passing game, the Patriots allowed 210 yards on 29 completions (78.4% completion percentage) and gave up 5.7 yards per attempt. New England's offense turned the ball over twice, while the defense managed to force no turnovers.

Commanders Preview:

Commanders Offense Breakdown

The Commanders' offense struggled in their 13-6 loss to the Dolphins, managing just 6 points. They had 17 first downs and 111 rushing yards on 22 attempts, averaging 5.0 yards per attempt. However, Washington's passing game failed to find the endzone, with just 229 yards through the air on 48 attempts.

Quarterback Trace McSorley led Washington with 93 yards passing, completing 11 of 21 attempts and throwing one interception. He was also sacked four times. Jeff Driskel, playing at running back, was their top rusher with 45 yards, 41 of which came on one run. Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint led the team in receiving with 33 yards.

Commanders Offense Breakdown

The Commanders' offense struggled in their 13-6 loss to the Dolphins, managing only one touchdown. They finished with 17 first downs and 229 yards passing on 48 attempts. Washington's running game had 111 yards on 22 attempts, with Jeff Driskel (45 yards) having the longest run of 41 yards.

Quarterback Trace McSorley led Washington with 93 passing yards, completing 11 of 21 attempts. He didn't throw any touchdowns and ended with a passer rating of 44. Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint was the leading receiver with 33 yards.

Commanders Team Defense

In their 13-6 loss to the Dolphins, Washington's defense gave up just 12 first downs but still allowed 288 total yards. The Commanders' run defense was solid, giving up only 86 yards on 18 attempts. They also managed to sack the quarterback four times and held Miami to a 26.7% conversion rate on third down.

In the passing game, Washington allowed 202 yards through the air, with the Dolphins averaging 5 yards per attempt. Despite this, the Commanders gave up one passing touchdown and allowed Miami to complete 60% of their passes.

Patriots vs Commanders Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, New England has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 17 points per game.
When looking at their past five home matchups, Washington has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 20 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Commanders have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
As the betting favorite, the Patriots have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. New England posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.