Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 14 Jets vs Dolphins pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

With the over/under line set at 45.5 points, the Dolphins are the heavy favorite in this one, with their money line at -299. The Jets and Dolphins will kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. Miami is favored by -6.5 points, and the game will be televised on CBS. The Jets and Dolphins are both looking to improve their records in this week 14 AFC East matchup.

Jets vs. Dolphins Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
Where: Miami Gardens at Hard Rock Stadium
Date: Sunday, December 8th
Betting Odds MIA -6.5, NYJ +241 | MIA -299 O/U 45.5

Jets Preview:

Heading into week 14 against the Dolphins, the Jets are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 26-21 home loss to the Seahawks in week 13. New York was a 1.5-point favorite in that game but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 3-9. The Jets now sit 20th in our power rankings, and their playoff chances are down to 0.0%.

New York is 3-9 against the spread this season, and they’ve failed to cover in three straight games. They are 3-6 ATS as favorites and 0-3 as underdogs. The Jets’ O/U record is 6-5-1, and the over has hit in two consecutive games.

Jets Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 14, the Jets rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.8, and 30th in yards per game with 291.3. New York ranks 6th in passing attempts but is 23rd in passing yards per game, averaging 204. On the ground, they are 29th in both rushing attempts and yards per game, with 87.3. The Jets are 12th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 39.6% success rate, and 11th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 13, New York scored 21 points in a loss to the Seahawks, with all of their points coming in the first half. Aaron Rodgers threw for 185 yards, completing 21 of 39 passes, with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Breece Hall led the team in rushing with 60 yards on 12 carries, while Davante Adams had 5 receptions for 66 yards and a touchdown.

Jets Team Defense

The Jets' defense allowed just 175 passing yards in their most recent game against the Seahawks. Despite this, they still came out on the losing end by a score of 26-21. The Jets' run defense was also solid, giving up just 84 yards on 23 attempts (3.7 yards per attempt). They also managed to sack Russell Wilson three times.

On the negative side, the Jets allowed Seattle to convert on 35.5% of their third down attempts. In the passing game, the Jets allowed one touchdown and a completion percentage of 64.5%.

Dolphins Preview:

After three straight wins, the Dolphins couldn’t keep their streak alive in week 13, falling 30-17 to the Packers. This dropped Miami to 5-7 on the season, putting them 9th in the AFC and 17th in our power rankings. They currently have an 8.9% chance of making the playoffs going into week 14.

Miami is 5-7 against the spread this season, with a -2.8 average scoring margin. They are 3-4 ATS as favorites and 2-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record is also 5-7, with their games averaging 41.5 points compared to a 45-point line.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Our offensive power rankings have the Dolphins at 20th heading into week 14, and they are 23rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 19.3. They are 19th in passing yards per game (217.8) and 22nd in rushing, with 110.3 yards per game. Miami ranks 11th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate (40.6%) and 15th in red zone conversions.

Tua Tagovailoa threw for 365 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 13, going 37/46 without an interception. Jonnu Smith had 10 catches for 113 yards, while Raheem Mostert led the team with 19 rushing yards on 5 carries.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 30-17 loss to the Packers, the Dolphins' defense allowed 388 total yards and 274 yards through the air. Miami gave up two passing touchdowns while Green Bay completed 75% of their passes. The Dolphins struggled to generate pressure, finishing with no sacks and losing both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

On the ground, Miami allowed 114 rushing yards on 25 attempts, giving up 4.6 yards per attempt. Additionally, the Dolphins allowed Green Bay to convert on 45.5% of their third down attempts.

Jets vs Dolphins Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past five road matchups, New York has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 16 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
When looking at their past five home matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
The last five games that New York was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
The Dolphins have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.