Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Matchup

In this week 12 NFL regular season preview between Broncos and Raiders, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

The Raiders are +197 on the money line as they host the Broncos at 4:05 ET on Sunday, November 24th at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Broncos are favored by -5.5 on the road, and the over/under line is at 41.5 points. Denver's money line odds are -238 as they look to improve their record in this AFC West matchup. You can catch the game on CBS.

Broncos vs. Raiders Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders
Where: Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium
Date: Sunday, November 24th
Betting Odds DEN -5.5, DEN -238 | LV +197 O/U 41.5

Broncos Preview:

Heading into week 12, the Broncos sit at 6-5, putting their playoff chances at 50.7% according to our projections. Denver ranks 23rd in our NFL power rankings and is 3rd in the AFC West with a 1-2 division record. They are 3-2 at home and 3-3 on the road.

Against the spread, the Broncos are 8-3, including a 2-game ATS winning streak. They covered in week 11, beating the Falcons 38-6 as 2-point favorites. The O/U line was 44.5, and the teams combined for 44 points, giving Denver their second straight under.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, the Broncos are 19th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.4. They rank 23rd in passing yards (196.5) and 20th in rushing yards (116) per game. Denver is 19th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate (37%) and ranks 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 7th in red zone attempts. Our offensive power rankings have them at 27th in the NFL.

Bo Nix is coming off a strong performance in week 11, throwing for 307 yards and 4 touchdowns on 28/33 passing. Courtland Sutton led the team with 7 catches for 78 yards, while Javonte Williams had 59 rushing yards on 9 carries. Denver scored in every quarter in week 11 after being shut out in the 2nd half in week 10 and the final 3 quarters in week 9.

Broncos Team Defense

In their 38-6 win over the Falcons, the Broncos' defense was dominant, allowing just 176 passing yards and 50 rushing yards on 21 attempts. They didn't give up any passing touchdowns and held Atlanta to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down. The Broncos also came away with four sacks and an interception, while limiting the Falcons to 226 total yards.

Denver's pass rush was effective, winning the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. They also held the Falcons to a 64.5% completion percentage on their passes.

Raiders Preview:

Heading into week 12, the Raiders are on a six-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-8. This includes a 34-19 loss to the Dolphins in week 11, where they failed to cover the spread as 8-point underdogs. Las Vegas is now 4-6 against the spread, with all four of their ATS wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-3, with the over hitting in three straight games.

Our power rankings have the Raiders 26th, and they have just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4th in the AFC West with an 0-3 division record and are 2-6 in conference play. Las Vegas is 1-3 at home and 1-5 on the road.

Raiders Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, the Raiders rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.7 points per game, and 30th in yards per game with 285. Despite being 5th in passing attempts, they are 16th in passing yards per game. On the ground, they rank 28th in rushing attempts and last in rushing yards per game, with 75.2.

Gardner Minshew threw for 282 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 11, going 30/43 with 1 interception. Tight end Brock Bowers led the team with 13 catches for 126 yards and a touchdown. The Raiders converted 8 of 14 third downs and scored once in 3 red zone trips in their 34-19 loss to the Dolphins.

Raiders Team Defense

In their 34-19 loss to the Dolphins, the Raiders' defense allowed Miami to convert on 66.7% of their third down attempts. The Raiders gave up 271 yards through the air, with Miami completing 77.8% of their passes. They also allowed three passing touchdowns and recorded just two sacks. Overall, the Raiders gave up 353 total yards in the game.

On the ground, the Raiders did a better job, holding the Dolphins to just 82 yards rushing on 26 attempts. However, the Dolphins were able to move the ball effectively through the air, averaging 7.5 yards per pass attempt and scoring three touchdowns.

Broncos vs Raiders Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
In their last ten games at home, the Raiders have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.
Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Raiders have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
As the betting favorite, the Broncos have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Denver posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.