Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 12 Steelers vs Browns pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Browns are +163 on the money line as they host the Steelers on Thursday, November 21st at 8:15 ET. The Browns are +3.5 point underdogs, and the over/under line is 36.5 points. The Steelers are favored on the road with a money line of -193. This week 12 AFC North matchup is being televised by AMZN.

Steelers vs. Browns Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Where: Cleveland at Huntington Bank Field
Date: Thursday, November 21st
Betting Odds PIT -3.5, PIT -193 | CLE +163 O/U 36.5

Steelers Preview:

With their 18-16 win over the Ravens in week 11, the Steelers extended their winning streak to five games, bringing their record to 8-2. This run includes a 28-27 win over the Commanders in week 10 and victories over the Giants, Jets, and Raiders. Pittsburgh is now 4-1 both at home and on the road, and they sit atop the AFC North with a 1-0 division record.

Our projections give the Steelers a 97.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 66.6% chance of winning the division. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings and have an average scoring margin of +7.1 points per game. Against the spread, Pittsburgh is 8-2, including a 5-game ATS winning streak.

Steelers Offense Breakdown

Russell Wilson has seen his passer rating drop in each of the last three games, going from 114 in week 9 to 93 in week 10, and then 67 in week 11 against the Ravens, where he threw for 205 yards on 23/36 passing with no touchdowns and one interception. George Pickens led the receiving corps with 8 catches for 89 yards in week 11. On the ground, Najee Harris had 18 carries for 63 yards.

Heading into week 12, the Steelers rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 14th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.3 points per game, and they sit 19th in total yards per game with 324. Pittsburgh has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game. On 3rd down, they are converting 38.3% of the time, which ranks 15th in the league.

Steelers Team Defense

In their 18-16 win over the Ravens, the Steelers' defense allowed just 48.5% completions. They gave up 205 passing yards and forced one interception. Baltimore managed only 16 completions on 33 attempts and struggled on third down, converting just 36.4% of their chances.

The Steelers struggled against the run, allowing 124 yards on only 19 attempts. They also had two sacks but lost the tackles for loss battle with a -4 differential. Despite these numbers, the Steelers came out on top with an 18-16 victory.

Browns Preview:

Heading into week 12, the Browns sit at 2-8, ranking 21st in our power rankings and giving them just a 0.7% chance of making the playoffs. Cleveland has lost two straight, including a 35-14 defeat to the Saints in week 11. The Browns were 1-point favorites in that game, but they couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 1-1 when favored this season. Against the spread, they are 3-7, with all three of their covers coming as underdogs.

In division play, the Browns are 1-1, including a 29-24 win over the Ravens in week 8. They couldn’t build on that victory, though, losing to the Chargers in week 9 and the Saints in week 11. Cleveland is 1-4 at home and 1-4 on the road this season.

Browns Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, the Browns rank 31st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 16.2 points per game (29th) and 291.3 yards per game (27th). Despite being 2nd in the NFL in pass attempts, they are 19th in passing yards, with Jameis Winston throwing for 395 yards (30/46) in week 11. Cleveland is 26th in rushing attempts and 29th in rushing yards, with Nick Chubb rushing for 50 yards on 11 carries in week 11.

On 3rd down, the Browns rank 29th, converting 28.2% of their attempts, and they struggled in week 11, going 3/13. However, they have been perfect in the red zone, leading the NFL in conversion percentage, though they only had one red zone trip against the Saints.

Browns Team Defense

In their 35-14 loss to the Saints, the Browns' defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 214 rushing yards on just 28 attempts. Overall, they allowed 473 total yards. The passing game wasn't much better, allowing 259 yards through the air on 22 completions, including two passing touchdowns.

Cleveland's defense had a tough time getting off the field, as the Saints converted on 50% of their third down attempts. Although they did come up with one interception, they managed just one sack and allowed the Saints to complete 75.9% of their passes.

Steelers vs Browns Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, Pittsburgh has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 20 points per game.
Through their last three home contests, the Browns offense has averaged 14 points per game while allowing an average of 29. Cleveland posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 1-2 ATS.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Browns have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
As the betting favorite, the Steelers have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Pittsburgh posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.