Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Matchup

In this week 13 NFL regular season preview between Bears and Lions, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

The Bears and Lions will face off at 12:30 ET on Thursday, November 28th at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are the heavy favorite with a money line of -590, and they are favored by -10.5 points on the point spread. This week 13 NFC North matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 48.5 points.

Bears vs. Lions Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
Where: Detroit at Ford Field
Date: Thursday, November 28th
Betting Odds DET -10.5, CHI +433 | DET -590 O/U 48.5

Bears Preview:

Chicago’s losing streak now stands at five games after a 30-27 loss to the Vikings in week 12. The Bears were unable to hold onto a 10-point lead in the 4th quarter, dropping their record to 4-7. They are currently 4th in the NFC North and rank 24th in our NFL power rankings, with just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. Chicago is 0-4 on the road this season but has a 4-3 record at home.

Despite being outscored by 0.4 points per game, the Bears are 6-4-1 against the spread. They are 3-1 ATS as favorites and 3-3-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-7, with their games averaging 39.8 points compared to an average line of 42.4.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Bears rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game (20.1) and 26th in yards per game (298.9). Chicago ranks 12th in passing attempts per game but is 29th in passing yards, averaging 187.1 per game. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing attempts and 22nd in rushing yards per game (111.8). The Bears have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 32.3% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the league. However, they are 7th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 18th in red zone attempts.

Caleb Williams threw for 340 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12, completing 32 of 47 passes without an interception. He also rushed for 33 yards on 6 carries. DJ Moore led the team with 7 catches for 106 yards and a touchdown. Chicago scored 17 points in the 4th quarter against the Vikings, after being shut out in the 3rd quarter. Before that, they scored 9 points in the 3rd quarter in week 11 and were held scoreless in the 4th quarter in week 10.

Bears Team Defense

In their 30-27 overtime loss to the Vikings, the Bears' defense allowed 452 total yards. They gave up 328 passing yards on 23 completions, with Minnesota averaging 9.4 yards per attempt through the air. The Bears also allowed 124 rushing yards on 27 attempts.

Chicago's defense managed three sacks in the game and held the Vikings to a 46.2% third-down conversion rate. Despite this, the Bears allowed two passing touchdowns and a 65.7% completion percentage to Minnesota.

Lions Preview:

With a 10-1 record, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 9-game winning streak. This includes a 24-6 win over the Colts in week 12, where they covered the 7-point spread. In week 11, Detroit dominated the Jaguars 52-6, easily covering the 14-point line. They also have wins over the Texans, Packers, and Titans during their streak.

Our projections give the Lions a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 84.4% chance of winning the NFC North. They are 9-2 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +16.1 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-5-1, with their games averaging 49.4 points.

Lions Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Lions are 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 32.7 points per game, and rank 2nd in total yards per game with 394.3. Despite being 27th in passing attempts, they are 6th in passing yards per game, averaging 243.5. Detroit is 4th in the NFL in rushing, with 150.8 yards per game on 32.4 attempts per contest.

Jared Goff threw for 269 yards in week 12, completing 26 of 36 passes without a touchdown or interception. Jahmyr Gibbs had 90 rushing yards on 21 carries, while Jameson Williams led the team with 64 receiving yards on 5 catches. Amon-Ra St. Brown, who had 161 yards in week 11, is questionable for week 13 with a knee injury.

Lions Team Defense

Indianapolis managed just 11 completions for 172 yards through the air against the Lions in their most recent game, with Detroit coming out on top 24-6. The Lions' defense was tough on third downs, allowing only a 25% conversion rate, and they limited the Colts to 39.3% completions. However, they didn't generate any sacks and had a -6 differential in tackles for loss.

The Lions' defense also held the Colts to 96 yards on 21 rushing attempts, giving them a yards per attempt of 4.6. Overall, Detroit allowed just 268 total yards in the game.

Bears vs Lions Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past ten road matchups, Chicago has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 14 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
In their last ten games at home, the Lions have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 8-2 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 26 points per game in these contests.
As the betting underdog, the Bears have an ATS mark of just 1-1-1 in their last three games. Chicago posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
Through their last three games as the favorite, the Lions have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.