The Padres and Rangers face off in an interleague matchup at 2:35 PM ET at Globe Life Field in Arlington. San Diego is 47-43 and they are 2nd in the NL West, while the Rangers are 39-47 and 3rd in the AL West.
Thursday's money line odds have the Rangers at -138 compared to the Padres at +117. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and the starting pitching matchup features Michael King for the Padres and Max Scherzer for the Rangers.
San Diego vs. Texas Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Padres at Rangers
- Where: Globe Life Field Arlington
- Date: Thursday, July 4th
- Betting Odds TEX -138 | SD +117 O/U 7.5
Padres vs Rangers Last Game Recap
San Diego picked up a 6-4 road win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Rangers got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final three runs in the 5th.
Manny Machado and David Peralta each homered for the Padres, while Jackson Merrill scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/5. Jurickson Profar also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Adam Mazur only went four innings for the Padres but gave up just four hits and four earned runs. Adrian Morejon got the win out of the bullpen, and Robert Suarez got the save. Dane Dunning had a rough outing for the Rangers, taking the loss.
Padres Preview
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road, posting a 30-14 record, while their overall run line record is 47-43. The Padres have a 19-18 record as underdogs and are 16-10-3 in series this season. They are currently on a three-series winning streak.
The Padres are 2nd in the NL West, 7.5 games behind the Dodgers, with an overall record of 47-43. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 48-41. Today's O/U line is 7.5 runs, and their games with O/U lines higher than 7.5 runs have accounted for 60.0% of their matchups this season.
Right-hander Michael King is starting for the Padres today as he faces the Rangers on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.61 ERA. King's WHIP for the season is currently 1.27, and opponents are batting .229 off him this year. In his last outing, King picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. King has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 10.38 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over his last five games, Jackson Merrill has gone 9/22 with two homers and six RBIs. This has helped him move into 2nd on the team with 12 home runs this season, and he is batting .293 for the season. Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. are the Padres' top power threats, with Profar leading the team with 11 homers and Tatis Jr. right behind him with 14 homers. Both players are also among the league leaders in RBIs.
As a team, the Padres are 2nd in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league's 2nd fewest strikeouts.
Rangers Preview
As favorites, the Rangers have a 23-21 straight-up record but are just 17-27 against the run line. Their overall run line record is 40-46, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs in wins and -3.6 runs in losses. Texas is 21-20 at home and 18-27 on the road, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak.
This season, games involving the Rangers and Padres have averaged 8.6 runs per game, with an over/under record of 34-49. When the total line is set at 7.5 runs, their O/U record is 4-5. Overall, 84.9% of their games have had higher total lines than today's 7.5 runs.
Max Scherzer will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Rangers, and this time he will be at home against the Padres. In his first start of the year, he took a loss against the Orioles, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up 2 runs. He has 4 strikeouts in each of his first two starts.
Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager have been the Rangers' most consistent power threats this season, as Garcia's 16 homers is the top mark on the team, while Seager is right behind him with 15. Seager is also batting .260 for the season, and Garcia is hitting just .221. Marcus Semien is the team's top run producer, with 45 RBIs, but he is batting just .231.
Corey Seager comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak and has gone deep three times in his past five games. Nathaniel Lowe has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/20 in his last five games with three homers. Lowe is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Padres vs. Rangers Prediction: Padres ML +117
Our pick for today's Padres vs. Rangers matchup is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +117. We actually have the Padres winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Michael King finishing with five strikeouts compared to Max Scherzer with six. However, we have Scherzer going deeper into the game, finishing with King going four innings.
Offensively, we have the Padres finishing with nine hits compared to the Rangers with eight. However, the Rangers are projected to hit more home runs, but we have them finishing with seven strikeouts compared to the Padres with six.
