At 8:40 PM ET, the Giants and Padres face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -152. The Giants have a money line payout of +129, and they are 69-73 this season, while the Padres are 81-62 overall.
Logan Webb will start for the Giants, while the Padres are sending Dylan Cease to the mound. NBCS will be televising this game, and the over/under line is at 7 runs.
San Francisco vs. San Diego Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Giants at Padres
- Where: PETCO Park San Diego
- Date: Saturday, September 7th
- Betting Odds SD -152 | SF +129 O/U 7
Giants vs Padres Last Game Recap
San Diego cruised to an easy 5-1 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Giants, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -213 on the money line.
Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Mason Black got the start for the Giants and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Manny Machado was the difference for the Padres' offense, as he homered twice and went 3/4 at the plate. Fernando Tatis Jr. also had a two-hit game and scored two runs. As for the Giants, Michael Conforto hit a home run, going 1/4.
Giants Preview
As underdogs, the Giants have a 25-41 record and have lost five straight games. Overall, they are 44-32 as favorites. San Francisco's series record this season is 21-20-3, and they have lost their last four series. On the run line, the Giants are 69-73 and have a 38-32 record on the road.
When the total has been set at 7 runs, the over has hit in 88% of Giants games this season. Their overall over/under record is 71-65, and the O/U record for games with a 7-run total line is 5-7-2. The Giants' average combined run total per game is 8.7 runs.
Giants starter Logan Webb will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, as he gave up six earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that start, he had turned in three straight quality starts. Webb's ERA for the season is 3.43, along with a record of 11-9. Looking at his home/road split, Webb is 4-5 with a 4.94 ERA on the road compared to 7-4 with a 3.04 ERA at home. This year, he has one complete game shutout.
So far this season, the Giants offense has been pretty average, as they are 17th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. This is the same number they are averaging on the road and at home. Overall, they are batting .239, which is 15th in the league, and are 20th in home runs. As a team, they are 9th in walks and have the 14th best on-base percentage in the league.
Over the last five games, Mike Yastrzemski has two home runs but is just 4/17 in that stretch. Tyler Fitzgerald has been a little better, going 7/19, but has yet to go deep. Jerar Encarnacion comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.
Padres Preview
San Diego has an overall over/under record of 76-65 this season, with their games averaging 9 runs per game. The under has hit in two straight games, and the over has gone 9-3 in games with a total of 7 runs.
The Padres are 81-62 overall and trail the Dodgers by four games in the NL West. They have a 28-14-4 series record and are 6-4 in their last ten games. On the run line, they are 44-26 on the road and 36-17 as underdogs, but 37-53 as favorites.
Padres starter Dylan Cease finished with a no-decision in each of his last two outings, most recently facing the Rays on September 1st. Against the Rays, he gave up three earned runs on four hits in five innings of work. Cease issued three walks and gave up two homers in the outing. Cease has a record of 12-10 this season and an ERA of 3.62. Opponents have a batting average of .198 vs. Cease this season. He has one complete game shutout and 14 quality starts this year. Cease's ERA at home is 3.25, compared to 4.82 on the road.
San Diego comes into today's game as the MLB's top hitting team, with a batting average of .264. They have also been one of the league's best home run-hitting teams, as they are 11th in the league in homers and have the best slugging percentage in the league. Overall, the Padres are averaging 4.8 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road at 5.1 runs per contest.
Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar are tied for 2nd on the Padres with 22 homers apiece, and Machado's 89 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Over his last 10 games, Machado is batting .302 with four homers. Luis Arraez has also been hot of late, going 16/38 in his last nine games. This has helped him move his season average up to .310.
Giants vs. Padres Prediction: Giants ML +129
We see the Giants taking this one on the road against the Padres, and with them having a money line payout of +129, that is the route we recommend taking. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Giants, giving you some value on the over, as well, with the line sitting at 7 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Logan Webb finishing with five strikeouts, and on the other side, Dylan Cease is projected to finish with seven. Cease does have a better chance of picking up the win than Webb, but with the payout for a Padres win being -152, we would rather take the Giants and Webb.
