There appears to be a chance for rain in Philadelphia on Wednesday, as the forecasted temperature is 75 degrees. The Yankees and Phillies are facing off in an interleague matchup, and the game is getting started at 12:35 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park. New York is 64-45, while the Phillies are 65-42.
The Phillies are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -133 compared to the Yankees at +113. Today's over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs, and the game will be televised on MLBN. Nestor Cortes is starting for the Yankees, while the Phillies are going with Cristopher Sanchez.
New York vs. Philadelphia Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Yankees at Phillies
- Where: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia
- Date: Wednesday, July 31st
- Betting Odds PHI -133 | NYY +113 O/U 9.5
Yankees vs Phillies Last Game Recap
New York rallied for three runs in the 7th and 8th innings in the most recent game of this Yankees vs. Phillies series. The Yankees scored one run in the 1st inning but didn't score another run until putting up three in the top of the 7th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Yankees were at +124 on the money line.
Will Warren got the start for the Yankees, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out six. Michael Tonkin got the win out of the bullpen, and Orion Kerkering took the loss for the Phillies. Aaron Nola got the start for Philadelphia, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Aaron Judge each homered for the Yankees, while Anthony Volpe scored three times and drove in two runs while going 2/5. Austin Hays hit the game's only other home run for the Phillies, going 2/4 with four RBIs.
Yankees Preview
On the road, the Yankees have a 37-22 record and have covered the run line in four straight games. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2, while in losing games, it is -3.4. The over has hit in 59 of their 105 road games this season, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game.
New York is on a four-game winning streak and is just a half-game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. In this series vs. the Phillies, they have won the first two games and have an overall series record of 19-11-4.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 4-9 with an ERA of 4.13. Cortes' WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. Looking at his numbers, Cortes has turned in nine quality starts this year and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Cortes finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.
The Yankees have been the best offense in baseball this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Not only do they lead the league in scoring, but they also have the best on-base percentage and OPS in the MLB. New York also has the 2nd most home runs in the league and have the top two home run hitters in the league in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto.
Over his last five games, Aaron Judge has gone 11/20 with four home runs and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .319 and has driven in 99 runs. Judge is also on a five-game hitting streak. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/15 with four homers over his last three games.
Phillies Preview
Philadelphia's recent form has been concerning, as they have lost three straight games and are 3-7 in their last 10. Despite this, they still hold a 7.5-game lead over the Braves in the NL East with a 65-42 record. The Phillies have a 38-20 home record and are 27-22 on the road this season.
Against the run line, the Phillies are 53-54 overall and 28-30 at home. Their over/under record is 48-54, and the average run total in their games is 8.8. The over has hit in their last two games, and the O/U line for today's game is set at 9.5 runs.
Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He faced the Guardians in that July 26th outing and gave up two homers. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Sánchez's ERA for the season is 3.05, and he has a record of 7-6. Opponents are batting .252 off the left-hander this season. Sánchez has made 20 appearances this year and has one complete game shutout. In total, he has 11 quality starts.
Heading into today's game, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league's 5th best team batting average. Kyle Schwarber has been hot of late, going 7/19 in his last six games with three homers and eight RBIs.
As a team, the Phillies have three players with at least 22 homers, with Kyle Schwarber's 22 homers being 2nd on the team and good for 9th in the league. Alec Bohm has been a consistent hitter for the Phillies, batting .293 for the season and leading the team with 72 RBIs. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season, hitting .278 with 24 homers.
Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction: Phillies ML -133
There is a lot of value in taking the Phillies on the money line at -133, with our predicted score being 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with the third-most home runs in the league today, but they are only projected to strike out eight times, which ranks them eighth in the league.
Looking at the Phillies, they are projected to finish with the eighth most runs in the league today, and their starter, Cristopher Sanchez, is predicted to finish with five strikeouts. Sanchez has the sixth-worst predicted ERA among today's starters.