Wednesday's interleague matchup between the Twins and Mets is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Mets are currently on a two-game winning streak and are 3rd in the NL East, while the Twins have lost two straight and are 3rd in the AL Central.
Minnesota comes into the game as the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -114 compared to the Mets at -105. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and SNY will be televising this one.
Minnesota vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Twins at Mets
- Where: Citi Field New York
- Date: Wednesday, July 31st
- Betting Odds MIN -114 | NYM -105 O/U 8.5
Twins vs Mets Last Game Recap
New York picked up a 2-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had just five hits in the game but took advantage of a Sean Manaea quality start and a good outing from Edwin Díaz out of the bullpen. As for the Twins, they wasted a solid outing from David Festa, who gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work.
Mark Vientos was the only player in the game to homer, while J.D. Martinez went 2/4 with an RBI for the Mets. Minnesota's two hits came from Trevor Larnach and Josh Donaldson.
This game was scoreless until the Mets broke through for one run in the 4th and added an insurance run in the 5th. As for the Twins, they had their best chance to score in the 7th but left the bases loaded.
Twins Preview
Minnesota has a 58-48 overall record and is currently 3rd in the AL Central, 6.5 games behind the Guardians. They have a 21-14 record in divisional games this season and have won two straight series, bringing their overall series record to 21-11-2.
When the Twins have been the favorite, they have gone 46-27 straight up but are 33-40 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, resulting in a 54-50 over/under record for the season. The over has hit in 14 of 29 games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs or higher, accounting for only 11.3% of their total games.
The Twins are sending right-hander Pablo López to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-7 with an ERA of 4.73. So far, López has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without picking up a win. López has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 6-3 and 5.32 on the road compared to 3-4 with a 5.72 ERA at home.
Heading into today's game, the Twins are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league and have been even better at home, putting up 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average at .252 and have the league's 5th best isolated power mark. Minnesota's offense has been led by Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in homers, respectively. Jeffers also comes into the game as the team's leader in RBIs (49).
Willi Castro has been a solid all-around player for the Twins this season, as he is batting .259, has an OBP of .347, and has gone deep 7 times. Over his last three games, Matt Wallner has gone 4/9 with two homers and three RBIs. Carlos Correa is also on a four-game hitting streak for the Twins.
Mets Preview
Currently on a three-game winning streak as underdogs, the Mets are 22-22 vs. the run line in that role this season. Overall, they have a 52-55 run line record with an average scoring margin of +0.3 runs per game. The Mets are 57-47 O/U this season, with their games averaging 9.5 runs per game.
The Mets are 57-50 overall and have won the first two games of this series vs. the Twins. They are 3rd in the NL East, eight games behind the Phillies. New York's straight-up record is 30-28 at home and 27-22 on the road. Heading into today's game, they are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.58. So far, he has made 20 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Severino finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One concern for Severino is that he has allowed at least one home run in three straight outings. His ERA at home is 3.0 compared to 4.49 on the road.
As a team, the Mets are 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are the league's 5th best home run hitting team and come in with a team batting average of .250, which is 10th in the league.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are tied for the team lead in homers this season, with 22 apiece. Lindor is batting .254 for the season and has gone 5/43 over his last 10 games, with five homers and 11 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo is also among the league leaders in RBIs, as his 65 is the best mark on the team and 12th in the league.
Twins vs. Mets Prediction: Mets ML -105
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -105. We have the Mets winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there is some room for this one to go over, but we are sticking with the Mets to get the win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Severino is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Pablo Lopez with six as well. However, we have Severino finishing with a better chance to pick up the win than Lopez.
