Wednesday's matchup between the Mets and Brewers has a first pitch set for 7:38 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -109 compared to the Mets at -110. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
The Brewers will be looking to lock up the top seed in the NL Central, while the Mets are playing for seeding in the Wild Card round, as they are 2nd in the NL East. New York has a record of 89-73, while the Brewers are 93-69. Starting for the Mets is Sean Manaea, and he is facing off against Frankie Montas for the Brewers. This game will be televised on ESPN.
New York vs. Milwaukee Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Mets at Brewers
- Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
- Date: Wednesday, October 2nd
- Betting Odds NYM -110 | MIL -109 O/U 7.5
Mets vs Brewers Last Game Recap
New York cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their four runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +125 on the money line.
Luis Severino started for the Mets and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two home runs. On the other side, Freddy Peralta only went four innings for the Brewers, giving up three earned runs on two hits.
Mark Vientos had a two-home run game for the Mets, scoring twice and driving in two runs. Jesse Winker and J.D. Martinez each had two RBIs for New York's offense.
Mets Preview
Leading 1-0 in their best-of-three series against Milwaukee, the Mets are on the road for game two, needing a win to advance. New York finished the regular season with an 89-73 record, going 46-35 at home and 43-38 on the road. As favorites, they posted a 59-39 mark, while they went 31-34 as underdogs.
New York’s run line record for the season stands at 83-80, with a 45-37 mark on the road. When favored, they went 45-53 against the run line, while they were 38-27 as underdogs. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.1 total runs this season, and their over/under record is 82-76. Today’s 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8 runs.
Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.47. Manaea's WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Manaea has made 16 starts on the road, going 6-3 with a 3.69 ERA. At home, his record is also 6-3, with a 4.26 ERA.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets' top power threats this season, as Lindor has 33 homers (11th in the MLB) and Alonso has 34 homers (10th in the league). Lindor comes into the game with a batting average of .273 and Alonso is hitting .240. Lindor also leads the team with 91 RBIs. Over his last five games, Lindor has gone 6/21 with two homers.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in the league in homers and are batting a collective .246.
Brewers Preview
Facing a must-win situation in game two of their series against the Mets, the Brewers are looking to avoid elimination and even the series. Milwaukee posted a 93-69 regular season record, going 47-34 at home and 46-35 on the road. As home underdogs, they went 12-13 this year and have dropped their last two games at home.
Milwaukee’s run line record for the season is 82-81, with a 37-45 mark at home. They’ve also lost their last two games against the run line at home. As favorites, their run line record is 36-57, while they’re 46-24 as underdogs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 total runs this season, and their over/under record is 82-71. Today’s 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8 runs.
Frankie Montas will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In his most recent start, Montas finished with a no-decision after giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Montas has finished with a no-decision in each one. His record for the season is 7-11, and he has an ERA of 4.84. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off Montas this season. Montas has made 30 starts, and his WHIP for the season is 1.37. The right-hander has a much better record on the road, going 6-4 with a 5.85 ERA compared to 1-7 with a 6.52 ERA at home.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers' top power hitters this season, as Adames' 32 homers are 1st on the team and 12th in the league, while Contreras has 23 homers and is batting .281. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat, but he is batting just .214 for the season. However, he does have 26 homers.
Over his last four games, Brice Turang has gone 8/18 and has driven in three runs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. Gary Sanchez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 4/10 in his last four games with a homer. Rhys Hoskins has struggled in his last four games, going just 2/13.
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Mets ML -110
Our pick for this Mets vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Mets on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at -110. We actually have the Mets winning this game by a score of 4-3, so there is a bit of value in taking them to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Sean Manaea finishing with five strikeouts, and Frankie Montas ending with four. We also have the Mets finishing with more home runs than the Brewers, and if you're looking for a parlay, you could look to the Mets' team home run line.
