At 1:40 PM ET, the Padres and Marlins face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Padres are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -210 compared to the Marlins at +176. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
San Diego is 66-52 and they have won seven straight, while the Marlins are 43-75 and they have lost three in a row. Dylan Cease will start for the Padres, while the Marlins are set to go with Max Meyer.
San Diego vs. Miami Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Padres at Marlins
- Where: loanDepot Park Miami
- Date: Sunday, August 11th
- Betting Odds SD -210 | MIA +176 O/U 7.5
Padres vs Marlins Last Game Recap
San Diego rallied for three runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this series, picking up a 9-8 win over the Marlins. The Padres had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their nine runs. As for the Marlins, they scored two runs in the 7th and added three more in the 8th, falling just short.
Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out five. Robert Suarez got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save. Roddery Munoz only went five innings for the Marlins, giving up three earned runs on six hits.
At the plate, Jackson Merrill hit the go-ahead home run for the Padres in the 10th inning. He finished the game with two RBIs and two runs scored. David Peralta also had a three-hit game for San Diego.
Padres Preview
San Diego has been on a tear, winning seven straight games and six consecutive series. They are 66-52 overall this season and are 2.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have a 36-23 record on the road and are 40-30 as favorites.
On the run line, the Padres have a 62-56 record and are 40-19 on the road. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 63-54. In games with a total of 7.5 runs, the Padres have an 18-20 record.
Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Cease has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 11-8 with a 3.40 ERA. So far, he has pitched one shutout and has 13 quality starts. Cease's ERA on the road is 4.6, and he has a record of 6-3 away from home. In his last outing, Cease finished with a no-decision, going just one inning and not allowing a run. Before that, he had won three straight starts. His last loss came on July 10th.
Not only do the Padres lead the league in batting average, but they also are the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are 11th in runs per game at 4.8. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. San Diego's offense has been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are the top-ranked team in this category.
Jurickson Profar has been the Padres' top power threat this season, as his 19 homers is the best mark on the team and 15th best in the league. He also leads the team with 71 RBIs. Profar has also been on a tear of late, going 15/43 with four homers over his last 10 games. Manny Machado has also been swinging a hot bat, going 15/43 with four homers in this stretch. Machado is 2nd on the team with 68 RBIs and is batting .271 for the season.
Marlins Preview
Miami's over/under record is 65-50, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. The over/under line for today's game is 7.5 runs, and when the total has been set at 7.5 runs, the Marlins have an 18-6 O/U record. Overall, 72.9% of their games have had higher total lines.
The Marlins are 43-75 overall and have lost three in a row, trailing the Padres 0-2 in the series. Miami is 23-39 at home and 20-36 on the road. As underdogs, they have a 39-62 record, but as favorites, they are just 4-13. Their average run margin is -1.4 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 1.6 runs per game at home.
So far this season, Max Meyer has made six starts and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 5.10. Looking at his overall numbers, Meyer has a WHIP of 1.30 and has allowed a total of seven home runs. Meyer's last outing was a rough one, as he gave up six earned runs in four innings of work to the Reds. He took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Meyer has made two quality starts this year. The right-hander's ERA at home is 6.2 compared to 5.15 on the road.
Heading into today's game, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game at just 3.7. This is a result of their poor team on-base percentage, as they are just 29th in walks and have a collective OBP of .293. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. However, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4 runs per game.
Jake Burger has been on a tear for the Marlins, hitting six home runs and batting .325 over his last 10 games. For the season, Burger is batting .245 with a team-high 51 RBIs. He is also 13th in the league in home runs. Jesús Sánchez is 2nd on the team with 13 homers but is batting just .239.
Padres vs. Marlins Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs -115
Our prediction for this Padres vs. Marlins matchup is to take the over, as we see the final score being 5-4 in favor of the Padres. At the current line, we would take the over at 7.5 runs, as we see there being a little bit of wiggle room.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Dylan Cease finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Max Meyer, we have him finishing with six K's, which is right in the middle of the pack.
If you're looking for a money line pick, the Padres are the way to go, and you would be getting them at -210. However, we see there being much more value in taking the over.
