At 8:08 PM ET, the Padres and Dodgers face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -144. The Padres have a line of +123, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Yu Darvish will be starting for the Padres, while the Dodgers are going with Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Los Angeles is currently on a five-game winning streak and is 1st in the NL West, while the Padres are 2nd in the division with a record of 93-69.
San Diego vs. Los Angeles Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Padres at Dodgers
- Where: Dodger Stadium Los Angeles
- Date: Friday, October 11th
- Betting Odds LAD -144 | SD +123 O/U 8
Padres vs Dodgers Last Game Recap
It was all Dodgers in the last game of this series, as they took down the Padres by a score of 8-0. Los Angeles had a huge 7th inning, scoring three runs and picking up all three of their doubles. As for the Padres, they had their best chance to score in the 5th, but left the bases loaded.
Ryan Brasier only went 1 1/3 innings for the Dodgers but didn't give up a hit or an earned run. He finished the game with just one strikeout but induced three groundouts. Dylan Cease had a rough outing for the Padres, giving up three homers and three earned runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work.
Gavin Lux, Mookie Betts, and Will Smith each homered for the Dodgers. Lux, Betts, and Enrique Hernandez each scored twice for Los Angeles' offense.
Padres Preview
Facing a must-win game on the road against the Dodgers, the Padres will look to extend their postseason run. San Diego posted a 93-69 regular season record, including a 48-33 mark on the road and a 45-36 record at home. As favorites, they went 63-44, while they were 34-27 as underdogs.
San Diego’s run line record for the season was 86-82, with a +1.1 run margin on the road compared to 0.0 at home. Their run line record on the road was 52-31. As underdogs, they went 42-19 against the run line. The Padres’ over/under record was 86-77, and today’s line of 8 runs is slightly below their season average of 8.8 runs.
Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 7-3 with a 3.31 ERA. Darvish's WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his 16 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Darvish's last outing came on October 6th vs. the Dodgers, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. He has won each of his last three outings.
Over the past seven games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has been on fire for the Padres, going 11/26 with four homers and seven RBIs. He is also on a six-game hitting streak. For the season, Tatis Jr. is batting .277 with 36 homers and 97 RBIs. As a team, the Padres are the league's top hitting team, with a batting average of .263. They are also 8th in runs per game (4.7) and have the best slugging percentage in the MLB.
Manny Machado has been one of the league's top run producers this season, as his 105 RBIs are 7th best in the MLB. He also leads the Padres with 29 homers. Machado comes into the game batting .275. Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill have also been key run producers for the Padres, as they have 85 and 90 RBIs, respectively.
Dodgers Preview
Facing a must-win game against the Padres, the Dodgers are back home, where they posted a 52-29 regular season record, compared to 46-35 on the road. Los Angeles went 93-53 as favorites this year and 7-13 as underdogs.
Los Angeles finished the regular season with an 84-82 run line record, with a +0.8 average run margin at home and +1.1 on the road. They went 41-42 against the run line at home. The Dodgers’ over/under record is 93-68, and 70.4% of their games had higher totals than today’s 8-run line.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today vs. the Padres and comes into the game with a record of 7-2 and ERA of 3.00. This year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander. Yamamoto's last outing came on October 5th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Looking back further, he has a total of seven quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Yamamoto is averaging 10.5 strikeouts and 2.2 walks.
Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers' top power threats this season, with Ohtani's 54 homers leading the team and Hernandez not far behind with 33. Ohtani is also 2nd in the league in RBIs (130), while Hernandez is 13th in the league with 99 RBIs. Hernandez has been especially hot of late, going 11/29 (.379) over his last seven games, with three homers and 11 RBIs.
As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in scoring at 5.2 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league's top OPS and slugging percentage, while also leading the league in isolated power (.188).
Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction: Dodgers ML -144
Our predicted final score for this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup is 4-3 in favor of the Dodgers. Given that they are also our predicted winner and that you can get them at -144 on the money line, that is the bet we recommend making.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish going six innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Yoshinobu Yamamoto, we also have him going six innings and finishing with five K's. If you're looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Dodgers on the money line with the over, as we have the final score going over the 8 run line.
