The Dodgers are the heavy favorite heading into Thursday's matchup with the Marlins, as their money line odds are sitting at -206 compared to the Marlins at +176. This one is taking place at loanDepot Park in Miami, and first pitch is set for 4:40 PM ET. BSFL is carrying this game on TV.
Jack Flaherty will go for the Dodgers, and he will face off against Edward Cabrera. Los Angeles is 90-62 and they are 1st in the NL West, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a record of 56-96.
Los Angeles vs. Miami Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Dodgers at Marlins
- Where: loanDepot Park Miami
- Date: Thursday, September 19th
- Betting Odds LAD -206 | MIA +176 O/U 8
Dodgers vs Marlins Last Game Recap
It was all Dodgers in the last game of this series, as they took down the Marlins by a score of 8-4. Los Angeles had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their four runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -200 on the money line.
Landon Knack only went five innings for the Dodgers but didn't give up a run and finished with seven strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Ryan Weathers had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss.
Freddie Freeman and Chris Taylor each had two RBIs for the Dodgers' offense. As for the Marlins, Otto Lopez had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
Dodgers Preview
Los Angeles games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 84-65. The Dodgers are 76-76 against the run line, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. They have been favored in most games, going 69-66 against the run line, but as underdogs, they are 7-10.
The Dodgers lead the NL West with a 90-62 record, 3.5 games ahead of the Padres. Their series record is 28-18-4, and they are 42-35 on the road this year. Los Angeles is 85-50 as favorites and 5-12 as underdogs, and they have a 38-23 record as the road favorite.
Jack Flaherty will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Braves, as he gets the start for the Dodgers today. In that start, which came on September 14th, he took the loss and gave up four earned runs in just three innings of work. Before that outing, Flaherty had won two straight starts. His overall record for the season is 12-7, and he has an ERA of 3.04 along with a WHIP of 1.05. Opposing batters have a batting average of .216 this season against Flaherty. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.97 strikeouts compared to just 1.97 walks.
Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers' top power threats this season, with Ohtani's 48 homers being the 2nd most in the league and Hernandez's 29 homers being the 13th most in the MLB. Ohtani also comes into the game with a team-high 110 RBIs, which is also 2nd in the league. Ohtani is batting .287 for the season, while Hernandez is hitting .267.
Freddie Freeman has been swinging a hot bat for the Dodgers of late, going 7/19 in his last five games with a homer and five RBIs. Miguel Rojas is also on a nine-game hitting streak. However, Tommy Edman has struggled of late, going just 4/21 in his last five games.
Marlins Preview
This season, the Marlins have gone 71-81 against the run line, with their best results coming as underdogs, where they are 69-65. Miami's games have averaged 9 runs per game, and the over has hit in 81 of their 147 games. They have a 27-48 road record and are 29-48 at home. In the NL East, the Marlins are 17-32 and are currently 35 games behind the Phillies.
Overall, Miami is 56-96 and has lost two straight series. They have a 11-28-9 series record and are 4-14 straight-up when favored. The Marlins have struggled at home, going 33-44 against the run line, compared to 38-37 on the road. This season, their games have averaged 8 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Miami is starting right-hander Edward Cabrera today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 4-7 with a 4.55 ERA. Cabrera's WHIP for the season is 1.33. In his 18 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.01 strikeouts per nine innings. Cabrera most recently faced the Nationals, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 4.14 compared to 7.35 on the road.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. Miami's offense has been a bit better of late, as Otto Lopez has gone 9/26 in his last seven games with two homers and six RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak. Jake Burger and Jesus Sanchez are the Marlins' top two home run hitters this season, with 26 and 17 homers, respectively.
For the season, the Marlins are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and they also have the 24th ranked slugging percentage in the league. Miami's team on-base percentage is just .297, which is 21st in the league. As a team, they are also last in the league in walks.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Marlins ML +176
Given the payout, we really like the Marlins to pick up a win at home against the Dodgers. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Marlins. With the Marlins' money line sitting at +176, there is a lot of value in picking them up to get the win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jack Flaherty is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters. As for Edward Cabrera, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is seventh best. If you're looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Marlins with the Dodgers' team home run total, as they are projected to finish with the fourth-most home runs on the day.
