At 8:40 PM ET, the Tigers and Padres square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Tigers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 70-70 overall. The Padres are 80-61 and they have won three straight, putting them second in the NL West.
Casey Mize will go for the Tigers, while the Padres are starting Martin Perez. Detroit is +130 on the money line, while the Padres are the heavy favorite at -155. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and this game can be seen on BSDET.
Detroit vs. San Diego Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Tigers at Padres
- Where: PETCO Park San Diego
- Date: Thursday, September 5th
- Betting Odds SD -155 | DET +130 O/U 8.5
Tigers vs Padres Last Game Recap
San Diego picked up a 6-5 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a late rally, scoring one run in the 5th and adding the game's final run in the 10th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -198 on the money line.
Detroit wasted a good outing from Keider Montero, as he gave up just two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Jason Foley took the loss for the Tigers out of the bullpen.
Yu Darvish only went 2 2/3 innings for the Padres but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Jeremiah Estrada got the win out of the bullpen.
Tigers Preview
As underdogs, the Tigers have struggled this season, going 38-48 straight up and 54-32 against the run line. They have a 73-67 run line record overall with an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game. Detroit is 35-36 on the road and 35-34 at home, but they have lost four straight games as underdogs.
Detroit enters today's game with a 70-70 record, having lost two in a row and sitting 10 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 24-22 in divisional matchups. The Tigers have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 20-19-5 this season.
Casey Mize will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Red Sox, he gave up one homer. Mize finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back further, he has made five straight starts without giving up a homer. Mize's ERA for the season is 4.36, along with a record of 2-6. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.43 and has turned in five quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Mize is averaging 6.59 strikeouts and 2.34 walks.
For the season, the Tigers are averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 18th in the league. The Tigers have been led by Riley Greene and Matt Vierling in terms of home runs, with Greene having 20 and Vierling at 16.
Over his last eight games, Matt Vierling has gone 9/29 with one home run, and Riley Greene is just 5/29 in that stretch. However, Greene is batting .256 for the season and has driven in a team-high 58 runs. Kerry Carpenter has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/22 in his last seven games.
Padres Preview
San Diego has a 27-14-5 series record this season and are 80-61 overall, putting them 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have won three straight games and are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
On the run line, the Padres are 44-26 on the road and 36-17 as underdogs, but just 28-43 at home. Their over/under record is 76-63, and when the O/U line is 8.5, they have an 18-15 record. Today's O/U line is 8.5, which has been set in 25 of their games this season, accounting for 17.7% of their total games played.
Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today vs. the Tigers and comes into the game with a record of 4-5 and an ERA of 4.71. So far this season, he has made 22 starts, and opponents are batting .287 off the left-hander. Pérez's WHIP for the season is currently 1.53. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Looking back further, he has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. The left-hander has made seven quality starts this season.
San Diego comes into today's game as the league's top hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the best team slugging percentage in the MLB. The Padres' offense has been especially good on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game.
Jackson Merrill has been swinging a hot bat for the Padres of late, going 9/24 with three homers and seven RBIs over his last six games. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with 22 homers. Manny Machado is just ahead of him with 23 homers and is batting .273 this season. Machado has also been hot of late, as he comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak.
Tigers vs. Padres Prediction: Padres ML -155
Our prediction for today's Tigers vs. Padres matchup is that the Padres will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the money line sitting at -155, this is the best way to play this one, as we also have the over/under line at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martin Perez finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for fourth worst among today's starters. As for Casey Mize, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is right in the middle of today's starters.
