At 5:08 PM ET, the Yankees and Guardians will square off in an AL matchup. This one is taking place at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the Guardians will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. The Yankees are currently favored on the money line (-116), while the Guardians' money line odds sit at -101. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
New York will be looking for a win to keep pace with the Astros in the AL, as they are 94-68 and in 1st place in the AL East. Cleveland is 1st in the AL Central with a record of 92-69.
New York vs. Cleveland Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Yankees at Guardians
- Where: Progressive Field Cleveland
- Date: Thursday, October 17th
- Betting Odds NYY -116 | CLE -101 O/U 7.5
Yankees vs Guardians Last Game Recap
New York picked up a 6-3 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Guardians, they scored their three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -171 on the money line.
Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. Clay Holmes got the win out of the bullpen. Tanner Bibee only went 1 1/3 innings for the Guardians, giving up two earned runs on five hits.
At the plate, Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres each had three RBIs for the Yankees. Judge, Anthony Volpe, and Anthony Rizzo each had two hits. Jose Ramirez hit the game's only home run for the Guardians, going 1/4 with three RBIs.
Yankees Preview
Leading their series against Cleveland 2-0, the Yankees are on the road for game three. New York posted a 94-68 regular season record, going 44-37 at home and 50-31 on the road. They’ve won five straight road games and four consecutive as the favorite.
New York’s run line record is 87-81, including 50-33 on the road. As favorites, their run line record is 65-77. They’ve covered the run line in three straight wins as favorites. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.1 total runs, while today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 88-75.
New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today as he faces the Guardians on the road. Schmidt has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 2.85. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 9.81 strikeouts per nine innings. Schmidt's last outing came on October 9th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Schmidt has allowed a homer in each of his last three outings.
So far this season, the Yankees are the league's top home run hitting team and are 3rd in the league in runs scored at 5 runs per contest. Not only are they the best home run hitting team in the league, but they also have the top home run hitter in the league in Aaron Judge, who has gone deep 58 times this season and is batting .322 overall. Judge also leads the MLB with 144 RBIs.
Over their last seven games, Giancarlo Stanton has two home runs and is batting .292, while Gleyber Torres has gone 9/27 with a homer and three RBIs. Torres also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Anthony Rizzo has a six-game hitting streak for the Yankees, and Juan Soto has also gone deep in three straight games.
Guardians Preview
Facing a must-win situation in game three, Cleveland looks to rebound at home, trailing 0-2 in their series against New York. The Guardians finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, going 50-30 at home and 42-39 on the road. As favorites, they posted a 66-37 mark but struggled as underdogs, going 29-36.
Cleveland's run line record stands at 84-84, with a home run margin of +0.8 compared to +0.3 on the road. As favorites, their run line record is 47-56, while they are 37-28 as underdogs. The Guardians' over/under record is 71-85, and today's 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8.2 runs.
Matthew Boyd is coming off a short outing in which he didn't give up a run. Against the Tigers on October 12th, he got the start and went just 2 innings, giving up 0 earned runs, 1 hit, and 1 walk. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Boyd has made 8 starts and 10 appearances this season, recording a WHIP of 1.13 and an ERA of 2.72. Opposing batters are hitting .204 off Boyd this season. The left-hander has a record of 2-2 and 3.0 quality starts. Boyd's ERA at home is 1.91 compared to 3.28 on the road.
Jose Ramirez has been the Guardians' top power threat this season, as his 39 home runs are 5th in the league and the most on the team. His 118 RBIs are also 3rd in the MLB and the best mark on the team. However, Ramirez has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .222 over his last eight games. Josh Naylor has also been a consistent power threat for the Guardians, as his 31 homers is 13th in the league, and he is batting .243 for the season.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 14th in the league in scoring. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .238 and have the league's worst BABIP.
Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction: Guardians ML -101
There is plenty of value in taking the Guardians on the money line at -101, as we have them picking up a 4-3 win over the Yankees. At -116, the Yankees are not offering enough value to warrant a bet, as we have the Guardians' money line odds at -101.
Looking at the starting pitcher's strikeout projections, we have Clarke Schmidt finishing with five K's compared to Matthew Boyd with five as well. Offensively, we actually have the Yankees finishing with more home runs than the Guardians, but we have the Guardians finishing with more hits.
