At 3:10 PM ET, the Orioles and Twins face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -169. The money line odds for an Orioles win are currently at +141.
Baltimore will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive with Albert Suarez on the mound, while the Twins are starting Bailey Ober. The Orioles are 90-71 this season, while the Twins are 82-79. This game can be seen on MASN.
Baltimore vs. Minnesota Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Orioles at Twins
- Where: Target Field Minneapolis
- Date: Sunday, September 29th
- Betting Odds MIN -169 | BAL +141 O/U 7.5
Orioles vs Twins Last Game Recap
It was all Baltimore in the last game of this series, as the Orioles took down the Twins by a score of 9-2. The Orioles offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +103 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Matt Bowman for the Orioles and Zebby Matthews for the Twins. Bowman only went 1 1/3 innings but didn't give up a hit or an earned run. Tucker Davidson came out of the bullpen for the win. Matthews was tagged for two homers and six runs in three innings of work.
Baltimore's two homers came from Emmanuel Rivera and Ryan O'Hearn. Rivera, Jackson Holliday, and Adley Rutschman each had two hits and two RBIs for the Orioles' offense.
Orioles Preview
With an overall record of 90-71, the Orioles are three games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore has taken the first two games of this series vs. the Twins, and their overall series record is 26-18-7. The Orioles have an average run margin of +3.7 in winning games and -3.6 in losing games.
On the run line, the Orioles are 26-13 as underdogs and 86-75 overall. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, resulting in an over/under record of 87-63. Baltimore's overall record has been helped by going 6-4 over their last 10 games.
Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.74 ERA. Suárez's WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Suárez has been hurt by the long ball, as he has allowed 15 homers this season.
For the season, the Orioles are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is the 4th best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, putting up an average of 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .250, which is the 6th best mark in the league, and are 2nd in the league in home runs.
Anthony Santander comes into the game with a team-high 102 RBIs and is 3rd in the league with 44 home runs. However, he is batting just .235 for the season. Gunnar Henderson has been a bright spot in terms of batting average, as he is hitting .282 and has 37 homers, which is the 2nd best mark on the team.
Twins Preview
Minnesota is struggling heading into today's game, as they have lost three straight games and are 2-8 in their last 10. They are 4th in the AL Central with an 82-79 record, 10 games behind the Guardians.
Against the run line, the Twins are 73-88, and their over/under record in games with lines higher than 7.5 runs is 83-72. The over has hit in their last four games, and their average run differential is just 0.1 runs per game.
Twins starter Bailey Ober finished with a no-decision in his most recent outing, going five innings and giving up four earned runs to the Marlins. He was taken deep twice in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Ober's ERA for the season is 3.94, along with a record of 12-8. Opposing batters are hitting .205 off the right-hander this season. In 30 starts, he has one complete game and 18 quality starts. The right-hander has a strikeout rate of 9.69 per nine innings.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are the Twins' top power threats this season, as they are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively. However, both players are batting under .250 so far this season. Willi Castro is also near the top of the Twins' home run leaderboard, and he comes in with a batting average of .247. Castro has 60 RBIs this season, which is 3rd in the league.
Over his last six games, Byron Buxton has gone 9/26, including one home run and three RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .247. Carlos Santana is also on a four-game hitting streak, and he has gone deep one time in his last six games.
Orioles vs. Twins Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs -111
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line. However, we actually have the Twins winning by a score of 6-5, which means there is a good amount of value in taking the over at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bailey Ober finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Albert Suarez with six. However, Suarez is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts, and we would recommend taking the over on his strikeout line.
Offensively, we have the Orioles finishing with nine hits compared to the Twins with nine. However, the Twins are projected to finish with more home runs, and you could look to take the over on their home run line.
