At 1:40 PM ET, the Orioles and Guardians will face off in an AL matchup. This one is taking place at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the Guardians are favored on the money line (+119). The money line odds have the Orioles at -140.
Baltimore leads the AL East with a record of 66-46, while the Guardians are first in the AL Central at 67-43. MASN will be televising Sunday's game, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Today's starting pitching matchup features Corbin Burnes for the Orioles and Gavin Williams for the Guardians.
Baltimore vs. Cleveland Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Orioles at Guardians
- Where: Progressive Field Cleveland
- Date: Sunday, August 4th
- Betting Odds BAL -140 | CLE +119 O/U 8
Orioles vs Guardians Last Game Recap
Baltimore picked up a 7-4 road win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Guardians, they scored their final two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -117 on the money line.
Zach Eflin started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed one home run. Yennier Cano got the save out of the bullpen.
Joey Cantillo had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss after going just four innings and giving up three earned runs. He did finish the game with four strikeouts and didn't issue a walk.
Orioles Preview
Currently, the Orioles are tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead with a 66-46 record and lead the division by 3.5 games over the Red Sox. They are down 2-1 in their series vs. the Guardians, with the series at 5-5. Baltimore's overall series record this season is 22-10-3.
When playing as the favorite, the Orioles are 54-36 straight up, and as the underdog, they are 12-10. On the run line, they are 31-22 on the road and 29-30 at home. The over has hit in each of their last four games, and for the season, they have gone over in 62 of their 102 games.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes is getting the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with an ERA of 2.47. Burnes' WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his last outing, Burnes went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Looking back further, he has allowed just one earned run in three of his last four starts. Burnes has a total of 18 quality starts this season and is averaging 8.31 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Orioles have been the league's top power-hitting team, leading the MLB with 172 home runs. As a team, they are also 3rd in runs per game (5.1) and have the league's top slugging percentage. Baltimore has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.
Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been the Orioles' top power threats this season, with Henderson batting .288 with 28 homers and Santander at .248 with a team-high 32 homers. Santander has been hot of late, going 10/31 in his last eight games, with three homers.
Guardians Preview
With a 67-43 record, Cleveland leads the AL Central by 5.5 games over the Twins. They have gone 19-15 against divisional opponents this season. The Guardians have been a better bet on the run line as underdogs, posting a 23-16 record, while they are 32-39 as favorites.
Heading into today's game, Cleveland's games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, with the over hitting in 53 of their 104 games. Their over/under record in games with an 8-run line is 8-9-2, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.
Gavin Williams is coming off a strong outing against the Tigers, where he picked up the win. In that July 30th start, he went 5 innings and didn't give up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Williams has made six starts and has a record of 1-3. His ERA is 3.72, along with a WHIP of 1.34. Opposing batters are hitting .237 this season off Williams. Out of his six starts, he has one quality start and is averaging 9.62 strikeouts per nine innings. Williams' ERA at home is 7.7 compared to 0.6 on the road.
Coming into the game, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Guardians are batting .242, and their team on-base percentage is .312 (11th in the league). Cleveland's offense has been led by José Ramírez and Josh Naylor, who have 29 and 23 home runs, respectively.
Over his last six games, José Ramírez has gone deep five times while going 8/21 overall. Naylor has also been hot of late, hitting .474 over his last five games with one home run. Naylor is also on a seven-game hitting streak, while Andrés Giménez has a streak of eight games.
Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction: Guardians ML +119
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at +119. We actually have the Guardians winning this game 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gavin Williams finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for ninth among today's starters. As for Corbin Burnes, his six-strikeout projection has him coming in at 12th. However, we have Williams finishing with a better chance to pick up the win.
