The Blue Jays and Braves will face off in an interleague matchup at 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. Toronto is 5th in the AL East with an overall record of 67-75, while the Braves are 3rd in the NL East at 77-64.
Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays, and he is facing off against Spencer Schwellenbach. Atlanta is the heavy favorite on the money line, with the odds sitting at -178, while the Blue Jays are at +148. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and this game will be televised on BSSE.
Toronto vs. Atlanta Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Blue Jays at Braves
- Where: Truist Park Atlanta
- Date: Saturday, September 7th
- Betting Odds ATL -178 | TOR +148 O/U 8.5
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Blue Jays vs Braves Last Game Recap
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Blue Jays series came right down to the end, as the Blue Jays rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-1 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -171 on the money line.
Max Fried pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Kevin Gausman had a decent outing for the Blue Jays, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
At the plate, Marcell Ozuna was the only Braves hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/3 with an RBI. Nathan Lukes had a two-hit game for the Blue Jays.
Blue Jays Preview
As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 40-33 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are 31-38. They have an overall series record of 16-23-6, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Toronto's games have gone over the total 74 times and under 65 times on the road.
Toronto is looking to end a two-game losing streak on the road today, as they are 46-27 against the run line in away games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 67-75 and are in 5th place in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 15 games. They have lost two straight series and have an average run differential of +3.3 in wins and -3.7 in losses.
José Berríos has been pitching well for the Blue Jays, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Twins on August 31st and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. In his 28 starts, Berríos has a record of 14-9 and an ERA of 3.59. This year, he has one complete game and 18 quality starts. Berríos' ERA on the road is 5.1, along with a record of 5-7. At home, his ERA is 3.07, and he is 9-2.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league and are also 19th in home runs. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the MLB right now. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a bright spot for the Blue Jays, as he is batting .327 for the season and is 8th in the league with 93 RBIs. He also has a team-high 28 home runs.
Guerrero Jr. is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 9/22 in his last five games. Addison Barger has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 4/15 with two homers in his last four games. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .219 for the season.
Braves Preview
Atlanta is currently 8 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, sharing 3rd place with the Mets. The Braves' overall record is 77-64, and they have a 23-21 divisional record. In games where they have been favored, the Braves are 51-62 against the run line, and as underdogs, they are 17-11. Their run line record is 68-73, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game.
For the season, Atlanta's games have averaged 8.0 runs, and their over/under record is 51-85. The under has hit in six straight games for the Braves. In today's game vs. the Blue Jays, the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 3.69. Schwellenbach's WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run. Schwellenbach has allowed 10 homers this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.1 strikeouts and just 1.85 walks.
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 13/39 in his last 10 games. For the season, he is batting .309 with 37 homers and 98 RBIs, which is 5th in the league. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .230 for the season and has gone 9/39 in his last 10 games.
As a team, the Braves are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Overall, the Braves are batting .241, which is 13th in the league.
Blue Jays vs. Braves Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs -103
Our prediction for this Blue Jays vs. Braves matchup is to take the over, as we see the Braves coming out on top by a final score of 6-5. However, with the payout for a Braves win on the money line at -178, we recommend taking the over at -103.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have José Berríos finishing with five strikeouts compared to Spencer Schwellenbach with six. However, we have Schwellenbach finishing with a higher earned run average, and we see him going just 4.2 innings.