There does appear to be a chance for light rain in Philadelphia on Sunday, where the Braves and Phillies will face off at 7:10 PM ET. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Phillies are the favorites on the money line (-142).
ESPN is carrying Sunday's TV coverage, and Aaron Nola will be on the mound for the Phillies. The Braves are starting Spencer Schwellenbach, and they are 74-62, putting them 2nd in the NL East. Philadelphia leads the NL East with a record of 80-56.
Atlanta vs. Philadelphia Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Braves at Phillies
- Where: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia
- Date: Sunday, September 1st
- Betting Odds PHI -142 | ATL +121 O/U 8
Braves vs Phillies Last Game Recap
Philadelphia picked up a 3-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run 1st inning and added their final run in the 7th. As for the Braves, they had their best scoring chance in the 3rd but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -171 on the money line.
Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in the last game of this series, going seven innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Carlos Estévez got the save. Max Fried had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss.
Edmundo Sosa was the difference for the Phillies' offense, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Trea Turner and Austin Hays each had two hits and an RBI.
Braves Preview
Atlanta has a 23-15-5 series record this season and has won five straight series. They are 74-62 overall and trail the Phillies by six games in the NL East. As favorites, the Braves are 62-47 straight up, and as underdogs on the road, they are 11-13.
When the Braves are underdogs, they have a 16-11 run line record, and their average run differential on the road is +0.9. This season, the over/under record for Atlanta is 51-80, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. Today's O/U line of 8 runs is right on par with their season average.
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 5-6 with a 3.72 ERA. Schwellenbach's WHIP for the season is currently 1.07, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Schwellenbach went 4 2/3 innings, giving up zero earned runs on five hits. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Against the Phillies on August 22nd, he picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league's top power hitters this season, as his 37 homers are 4th in the league and the best mark on the Braves. He also comes into the game with a strong batting average of .307. Matt Olson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/33 in his last eight games with four homers and 13 RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .234 but does have 25 homers.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road (4.6 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). Overall, they are 4th in the league in homers and are batting a collective .242. Atlanta's team strikeout numbers are a concern, as they are 25th in the league in this category.
Phillies Preview
Philadelphia is favored in today's game, and as the favorite this season, they have a 68-41 record. Overall, the Phillies are 66-70 against the run line, with a better record on the road at 33-32 compared to 33-38 at home. The over/under record for Phillies games this season is 63-66, and in games with an 8-run total, the over has hit 17 times.
The Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Braves, with an 80-56 record. They have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 23-15-6 this season. In the final game of a series, the Phillies are 2-1 against the Braves so far.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves at home. Nola has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with a 3.30 ERA. So far, he has turned in 17 quality starts and has a WHIP of 1.16. Nola's most recent outing was a gem, as he went seven innings vs. the Astros, giving up no runs on six hits. He finished with six strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Nola has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 3.25 compared to 4.48 on the road.
Over the Phillies' last eight games, Nick Castellanos and J.T. Realmuto have each hit three home runs, with Realmuto batting .333 and Castellanos hitting just .233. Realmuto has gone 8/24 over this stretch, while Castellanos has gone 7/30. Realmuto has also driven in eight runs over this stretch, which is tied for the team lead with Bryce Harper. Harper is currently 2nd on the team with 26 homers and is batting .279 for the season.
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are the league's 3rd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .257. Philadelphia's team on-base percentage is also 5th in the league.
Braves vs. Phillies Prediction: Phillies ML -142
Our prediction for today's Braves vs. Phillies game is to take the Phillies on the money line at -142. We actually have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 5-4, which would give you a chance to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Nola finishing with five strikeouts, which has him as the 16th best among starters today. As for Spencer Schwellenbach, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the fourth best among starters.
