At 1:10 PM ET, the Mets and Braves square off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and both teams have an overall record of 88-72. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Braves are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -157 compared to the Mets at +133.
Monday's starting pitching matchup features Tylor Megill for the Mets and Spencer Schwellenbach for the Braves. SNY will be televising this one, and it is being played in Atlanta, with the Braves being favored at -157 on the money line compared to the Mets at +133.
New York vs. Atlanta Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Mets at Braves
- Where: Truist Park Atlanta
- Date: Monday, September 30th
- Betting Odds ATL -157 | NYM +133 O/U 7.5
Mets Preview
Heading into their last game vs. the Brewers, the Mets closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -143 on the money line. It was a big first inning for the Mets, as they scored their first run of the game and added three more in the 4th.
David Peterson put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out eight Brewers batters. Francisco Lindor was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
As the favorite, the Mets have a 59-39 record this season, but they are 29-33 as the underdog. Overall, they are 88-72 and sit six games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The under has hit in their last two games, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season.
Against the run line, the Mets have a winning record, especially on the road, where they are 43-36. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while in losses, it's -3.6. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, they are 22-17 this season.
New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he comes in with a record of 4-5 and an ERA of 3.98. Megill has made 14 starts this year and has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 6.1. He most recently pitched at home vs. the Phillies, where he finished with a no-decision, going four innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that outing, he had gone six innings without giving up an earned run in back-to-back starts. Megill's WHIP for the season is 1.27.
Over the past seven games, Jose Iglesias has been swinging a hot bat, going 12/28 (.429) with one home run and two runs scored. This has extended his hitting streak to 20 games. However, the Mets will need some of their other hitters to step up, as Mark Vientos has also hit two homers in this stretch but has just a .214 batting average. For the season, Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are 1-2 on the team in RBIs, with both having 88 RBIs and 32 and 34 homers, respectively.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are 7th in runs per game at 4.8. Overall, they are batting .247, which is 8th best in the league. Coming into the game, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game on the road and 4.7 at home.
Braves Preview
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Royals scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Atlanta was the -218 favorite at home going into the game.
Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. The Braves also wasted a big game from Gio Urshela, who homered in the to 1st inning, going 2/4.
Atlanta has an overall series record of 29-16-7 this season, and they have won three straight series heading into today's game against the Mets. The Braves are 6 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, who are leading the division. As favorites, the Braves have a 75-54 record, but as underdogs, they are 13-18.
Against the run line, the Braves are 76-84, with a 43-38 record on the road and 33-46 at home. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, resulting in an over/under record of 58-96. The under has hit in their last four games, and their games have had an average total of 8 runs, with 72.5% of their games having higher totals than today's line of 7.5 runs.
Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has been pitching well recently, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he faced the Mets on September 24th and got the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back at his last four outings, Schwellenbach has allowed two or fewer earned runs in three of them. For the season, he has made 20 starts, has a record of 8-7, and his ERA is 3.47. Opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander this season. Schwellenbach has a total of 11 quality starts this year.
Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have been the top power threats for the Braves this season, as Ozuna's 39 homers are 5th in the league and Olson is 2nd on the team with 29 homers. Ozuna also comes into the game with the team's best batting average (.304) and on-base percentage (.381). As a team, the Braves are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game.
Recently, Gio Urshela and Michael Harris II have been swinging the bat well, with Urshela going 6/18 with two homers in his last five games and Harris II batting .400 with a homer. Ronald Acuña Jr. is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Mets vs. Braves Prediction: Mets ML +133
We see the Mets coming out on top in this one, and with them being the underdog, the best bet is to take them on the money line at +133. Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with more home runs than the Braves, and we also have them out-hitting the Braves with 10 hits compared to the Braves' nine.
If you're looking for a final score prediction, we have the Mets winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you're looking for a starting pitcher to target in terms of strikeouts, we have Tylor Megill finishing with seven K's and Spencer Schwellenbach with seven as well.
