MLB Network will be televising Tuesday's Nationals vs. Diamondbacks matchup, with the first pitch being set for 9:40 PM ET from Chase Field in Phoenix. The Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -184 compared to the Nationals at +156. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs.
Washington comes into the game on a two-game losing streak and is 4th in the NL East with a record of 49-58, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West at 56-51. Patrick Corbin is slated to start for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks.
Washington vs. Arizona Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Nationals at Diamondbacks
- Where: Chase Field Phoenix
- Date: Tuesday, July 30th
- Betting Odds ARI -184 | WSH +156 O/U 9.5
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Last Game Recap
It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Nationals series. Arizona went into the matchup as -166 favorites and squeaked out a 9-8 win. Washington had a late rally, scoring five runs in the 9th, but Kyle Finnegan took the loss. Joe Mantiply got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks as Jordan Montgomery only went four innings.
Montgomery gave up six hits and six earned runs in his four innings of work. He did finish the game with just one walk and one strikeout. As for the Nationals, Mitchell Parker only went five innings and gave up two earned runs on four hits.
Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll each homered for the Diamondbacks, while Alex Call went deep for the Nationals. Marte, Carroll, and Geraldo Perdomo each had two hits and two RBIs for Arizona's offense.
Nationals Preview
Washington has a 14-18-2 series record this season and they are 26-31 on the road. The Nationals have a 61-46 run line record and have covered the run line in four straight road games. Their average run total per game this season is 8.9.
The Nationals are 49-58 overall and are 4th in the NL East, 16.5 games behind the Phillies. As underdogs, they have a 39-49 record, and the O/U record in games with a 9.5 run line is 6-7.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin is getting the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 2-10 with a 5.26 ERA. Corbin's WHIP for the season is currently 1.46. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Corbin has given up at least one home run in each of his last three outings. So far, he has made six quality starts this year.
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. However, they are just 23rd in home runs and have the league's worst slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals' top home run hitters this season. Abrams is batting .256 with 15 homers, while Garcia Jr. has 11 homers and a batting average of .276. Over his last 10 games, Juan Yepez is hitting .350 with two homers and 11 RBIs. However, Keibert Ruiz has struggled of late, going just 7/32.
Diamondbacks Preview
Arizona's games have averaged 9 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 57-47. When the total is set at 9.5 runs, the under has hit in seven of ten games. The Diamondbacks are 19-14 in divisional matchups and have a 17-13-4 series record this year.
Overall, the Diamondbacks have a run-line record of 55-52, and they are 31-22 on the road. As the underdog, they are 35-23 vs. the run line, but as the favorite, they are 20-29. Arizona is 7-3 in their last ten games and have won four straight series, putting them in 3rd place in the NL West, seven games behind the Dodgers.
Ryne Nelson is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Royals, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Nelson has made 17 starts and six of them have been quality starts. His ERA for the season is 4.85, along with a record of 7-6. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 2.2 compared to 6.41 strikeouts per nine innings. Nelson's WHIP for the season is 1.41. At home, his ERA is 7.83 compared to 4.0 on the road.
Arizona's offense has been one of the league's best this season, as they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been equally as good at home and on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest in both situations. The Diamondbacks have been a very good hitting team this season, batting .254 as a team, and are also among the league leaders in home runs.
Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been two of the Diamondbacks' top power threats this season, as they each have over 20 homers and are among the league leaders in RBIs. Marte has been especially hot of late, going 11/24 in his last seven games, with five homers and 14 RBIs. Currently, Joc Pederson, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., and Corbin Carroll are all on good hitting streaks for the Diamondbacks.
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs -121
Our prediction for today's Nationals and Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks to pick up the win, but we are actually recommending going with the under, as we see this one finishing with a 5-4 win for the Diamondbacks.
At the plate, we actually have the Diamondbacks finishing with more hits than the Nationals, and in terms of home runs, the Nationals are actually projected to finish last in the league in home runs today.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Patrick Corbin is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson is actually projected to finish with just four K's.
Another reason we like the under is that we see the Diamondbacks finishing with a team strikeout total of eight, which is actually 1.5 more than the Nationals.
