Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers Matchup

Read our 49ers vs Dolphins pick and preview for this NFL pre-season week 16 game in Miami Gardens. Check out who we like to win and cover the spread in this regular season NFL matchup.

The 49ers and Dolphins will face off at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 22nd at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. The Dolphins are the favorite with a money line of -123 and are -1.5 point favorites. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 46 points.

49ers vs. Dolphins Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins
Where: Miami Gardens at Hard Rock Stadium
Date: Sunday, December 22nd
Betting Odds MIA -1.5, SF +103 | MIA -123 O/U 46

49ers Preview:

Heading into week 16, the 49ers sit 7th in our power rankings despite their 6-8 record. With the loss, San Francisco’s playoff chances are down to 0.1%. They are also 0-2 as underdogs and 5-7 as favorites. Their O/U record is 7-7, with their games averaging 45.3 points compared to an average line of 46.5.

San Francisco couldn’t build on their week 14 win over the Bears, losing 12-6 to the Rams in week 15. The 49ers were 3-point favorites but couldn’t get the win at home. The teams combined for just 18 points, well below the 48.5-point line.

49ers Offense Breakdown

San Francisco’s offense ranks 14th in our power rankings heading into week 16, sitting 13th in the NFL with 22.4 points per game. They are 8th in the league in yards per game (365.1) and 10th in passing yards per game (231.6), despite ranking 25th in passing attempts. On the ground, they average 133.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 7th in both rushing yards and attempts. The 49ers are 10th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 42.3% success rate, but they rank 20th in red zone conversion percentage.

After a 325-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 14, Brock Purdy struggled in week 15, throwing for 142 yards and an interception with a passer rating of 45. George Kittle led the team with 61 receiving yards, and Isaac Guerendo had 57 rushing yards on 16 carries. The 49ers scored just 6 points in their loss to the Rams, with all of their scoring coming in the 1st and 3rd quarters.

49ers Team Defense

Despite not registering any sacks, the 49ers' defense held the Rams to just 160 yards passing in their most recent game, but still came out on the losing end by a score of 12-6. The Rams rushed for 142 yards on 38 attempts, averaging 3.7 yards per attempt. San Francisco's defense also limited the Rams to a 26.7% conversion rate on third down.

Overall, the 49ers gave up 302 yards in the game, with their offense struggling to put up points. The defense did well to limit big plays in the passing game, as the Rams averaged just 5.9 yards per attempt. However, the 49ers were unable to force much pressure in the backfield, failing to record any sacks.

Dolphins Preview:

Heading into week 16, the Dolphins sit 2nd in the AFC East with a 6-8 record, including a 3-2 mark in division play. After winning 3 straight games, Miami fell to the Texans in week 15, losing 20-12. This dropped their playoff chances to 4.9% according to our projections. The Dolphins currently rank 15th in our NFL power rankings.

Miami has an average scoring margin of -2.6 points per game and is 5-9 against the spread this season. They have failed to cover in 3 straight games. Their O/U record is 6-8, with an average of 42 points per game in their matchups.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 16, the Dolphins are 19th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 19.7 points per game (21st in the NFL) and 324.1 yards per game (19th). They rank 14th in passing yards, with 222.6 per game, on 35 attempts per contest, which is 8th in the league. On the ground, Miami is 24th in rushing, averaging 101.4 yards on 26.3 attempts per game. They are 14th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.4% success rate, and 17th in red zone conversions.

After two strong performances, Tua Tagovailoa struggled in week 15, throwing for 196 yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions against the Texans. Miami's offense scored 6 points in the 2nd and 3rd quarters but was shut out in the 1st and 4th. De'Von Achane led the team with 41 rushing yards, and Malik Washington had 5 catches for 52 yards.

Dolphins Team Defense

In Miami's 20-12 loss to the Texans, their defense allowed just 104 passing yards but gave up two passing touchdowns. The Dolphins' run defense allowed 77 yards on 20 attempts. They did have four sacks and held Houston to a 38.5% conversion rate on third down. Miami's offense managed only 181 yards in the game.

49ers vs Dolphins Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last three road games, San Francisco has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 14 points per game.
In their last five games at home, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.
Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, San Francisco has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
Through their last five games as the favorite, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.