Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 18 Dolphins vs Jets pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in East Rutherford.

The over/under line is set at 39 points for the Dolphins vs. Jets week 18 matchup, taking place on Sunday, January 5th at 4:25 ET. The game, played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ, is being televised on FOX. The Dolphins are the slight favorite with a point spread of -1 and a money line of -117, while the Jets' money line odds are -104.

Dolphins vs. Jets Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
Where: East Rutherford at MetLife Stadium
Date: Sunday, January 5th
Betting Odds MIA -1, MIA -117 | NYJ -104 O/U 39

Dolphins Preview:

Heading into week 18, the Dolphins have won two straight games, bringing their record to 8-8. After a week 15 loss to the Texans, Miami bounced back with wins over the 49ers (29-17) and Browns (20-3) in weeks 16 and 17, respectively. The Dolphins are 2nd in the AFC East with a 3-2 division record and rank 8th in the conference. Our projections give them a 25.5% chance of making the playoffs.

Miami currently sits 12th in our NFL power rankings. They have a -0.4 scoring margin and are 7-9 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is also 7-9, with their games averaging 41.1 points compared to an average line of 44.3.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 18, the Dolphins rank 16th in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in scoring, averaging 20.3 points per game, and 18th in total offense, with 324.9 yards per game. Miami ranks 15th in passing yards per game (221.1) and 24th in rushing, with 103.8 yards per game on the ground. They rank 19th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 37% success rate.

Tyler Huntley took over at QB in week 17, throwing for 225 yards (22/26) and a touchdown in Miami’s 20-3 win over the Browns. Tyreek Hill led the team with 9 catches for 105 yards, while Huntley also added 52 rushing yards and a touchdown. Tua Tagovailoa is questionable for week 18 with a hip injury.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 20-3 win over the Browns, the Dolphins' defense put together a strong performance, holding Cleveland to just 3 points. Miami's secondary was particularly effective, allowing only 162 passing yards and a completion percentage of 51.1%. They didn't give up any passing touchdowns and came away with one interception. The Dolphins' run defense gave up 114 yards on 28 attempts, and they allowed the Browns to convert on 41.2% of their third down attempts. Miami's defense also had 1 sack in the game.

Jets Preview:

Heading into week 18, the Jets are 4-12 and have lost two straight games, including a 40-14 defeat to the Bills in week 17. New York was a 10.5-point underdog in that matchup but couldn’t cover the spread. Before that, they fell to the Rams in week 16 and picked up their last win in week 15, beating the Jaguars 32-25.

With a -4.9 average scoring margin, the Jets are 5-11 against the spread this season. They rank 21st in our NFL power rankings and have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 9-6-1, with their games averaging 43.1 points per contest.

Jets Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 18, the Jets are 17th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 23rd in the NFL in points per game (19.1) and 24th in yards per game (306.2). New York has leaned heavily on the passing game, ranking 6th in pass attempts per game, but they are 17th in passing yards per game with 216.1. On the ground, they rank 26th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards per game (90.2).

Aaron Rodgers struggled in week 17, posting a passer rating of 43 after throwing for 112 yards and 2 interceptions on 12/18 passing. The Jets failed to score until the 4th quarter, when they put up 14 points. Garrett Wilson led the team with 66 receiving yards on 7 catches, while Breece Hall had 45 rushing yards on 10 carries.

Jets Team Defense

In their 40-14 loss to the Bills, the Jets' defense gave up 251 yards through the air, including three passing touchdowns. The Jets struggled to generate pressure, as they didn't record any sacks and lost both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials by -4 each. Buffalo also had success on third down, converting 57.1% of their third down attempts.

New York's run defense was a bit more effective, holding Buffalo to 97 yards on 34 attempts (2.9 yards per attempt). However, the Jets still allowed the Bills to score 40 points and give up 348 total yards in the game.

Dolphins vs Jets Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last five road games, Miami has averaged 19 points per game while allowing 19. The team's record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
Across their ten previous home games, New York has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 19 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Jets have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. New York posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
The Dolphins have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.