Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Matchup

In this week 5 NFL regular season preview between Dolphins and Patriots, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

FOX will broadcast the week five AFC East matchup between the Patriots and Dolphins, taking place at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. The Patriots are the slight favorite with a point spread of -1 and a money line of -112. The game is set for 1:00 ET, with the Dolphins holding a -108 money line. The over/under line is at 35.5 points.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
Where: Foxborough at Gillette Stadium
Date: Sunday, October 6th
Betting Odds NE -1, MIA -108 | NE -112 O/U 35.5

Dolphins Preview:

The Dolphins are now 1-3 after their 31-12 loss to the Titans. Miami was favored by -2.5, but their 19-point loss didn't come close to covering the spread. The Titans led 9-3 at halftime, and Miami didn't put up much of a fight in the 2nd half, as the Titans outscored them 22-9 after halftime. The over/under line was set at 37.5, and the teams combined for 43 points.

Miami added a late touchdown in the 4th quarter when the game was already out of reach. The Dolphins' only touchdown came on a 1-yard rush by Tyler Huntley with 3:40 remaining in the 4th. The Titans also added a late field goal to make the final score 32-18 in favor of the Titans.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

The Dolphins' offense struggled in their 31-12 loss to the Titans, managing only 13 first downs and 78 yards passing. Miami's running game gained 106 yards on 30 attempts, with quarterback Tyler Huntley as their leading rusher, gaining 40 yards and scoring a touchdown on the ground.

Huntley threw for 96 yards, completing 14 of 22 passes. Jaylen Waddle was the top receiver with 36 yards. Miami was ineffective on third down, converting only 16.7% of their chances and Huntley was sacked twice.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 31-12 loss to the Titans, the Dolphins' defense gave up just 102 yards through the air. However, they struggled to stop the run, allowing 142 rushing yards on 40 attempts. Miami's defense was tough in the passing game, allowing just 12 completions and not giving up any passing touchdowns. They also picked off one pass and held the Titans to a 57.1% completion percentage.

On third downs, Miami held Tennessee to a 16.7% conversion rate. The Dolphins' defense recorded one sack and had one more tackle for loss than the Titans.

Patriots Preview:

After a 30-13 loss to the 49ers, the Patriots are now sitting at a 1-3 record. New England fell behind early, with the 49ers leading 6-0 after the first quarter. The Patriots managed a field goal late in the 2nd quarter but still trailed 20-3 at halftime. Even though the Patriots found the endzone twice in the 3rd quarter, the 49ers also scored twice to keep the game out of reach.

Looking at the 4th quarter, the Patriots did manage to get into the endzone to pull within 17, but the 49ers put things out of reach with another touchdown of their own. New England's first touchdown came on a 12-yard pass from Jacoby Brissett to Austin Hooper, and they added another touchdown with 4:34 remaining in the 4th quarter.

Patriots Offense Breakdown

New England's offense struggled in their 30-13 loss to the 49ers, managing only 12 first downs and 143 yards passing. They were held to just 73 yards on the ground, averaging only 3.0 yards per attempt. Jacoby Brissett was sacked six times and finished with 168 yards passing, completing 59% of his passes and throwing one touchdown.

Rhamondre Stevenson was the leading rusher with 43 yards, while Antonio Gibson led the team with 67 receiving yards, including a 50-yard reception. The Patriots converted only 31.2% of their third down attempts and ended the game with a team passer rating of 70.

Patriots Team Defense

In the Patriots' 30-13 loss to the 49ers, their defense allowed 283 passing yards on just 15 completions, including a big 10.5 yards per attempt figure. The Patriots struggled to stop the run, allowing 148 rushing yards on 32 attempts. Overall, they gave up 431 total yards in the game.

Despite allowing just 15 completions, the Patriots struggled on third downs, allowing the 49ers to convert 53.8% of their third down attempts. New England's defense also managed only one sack and lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in the game.

Dolphins vs Patriots Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past three road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 9 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
Through their last three home games, New England has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 10 points per game.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Patriots have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.