Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints Matchup

Check out our free Rams vs Saints pick and preview for this NFL week 13 game in New Orleans. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 13 regular season matchup.

The Rams are favored on the road with a money line of -153 as they take on the Saints at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 1st. The Saints are the underdog with a point spread of +3 and a money line of +129. This week 13 NFC matchup is being televised on FOX, and the over/under line is set at 48.5 points. The Rams and Saints both need to add their records.

Rams vs. Saints Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints
Where: New Orleans at Caesars Superdome
Date: Sunday, December 1st
Betting Odds LAR -3, LAR -153 | NO +129 O/U 48.5

Rams Preview:

Following a week 11 win over the Patriots, the Rams couldn’t keep the momentum going, falling 37-20 to the Eagles in week 12. This puts Los Angeles at 5-6, leaving them 3rd in the NFC West with a 2-1 division record. They rank 17th in our power rankings, and we give them a 14.2% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Rams are 4-7, with an average scoring margin of -3.9 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-5, with the over hitting in two straight games. Their matchups have averaged 46.3 points, compared to an average line of 46.8.

Rams Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Rams sit 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.2 points per game, and 17th in total yards, with 331.8 per game. They are 9th in passing yards, with 236.7 per game, on 35.1 attempts per game, which ranks 7th. On the ground, they rank 26th in rushing yards, with 95.1 per game, on 24.3 attempts per game, which is 24th in the league. The Rams have struggled on 3rd down, ranking 31st in the NFL with a conversion rate of 31.7%.

Matthew Stafford has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 104 in week 12, with 243 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Eagles. In week 11, he threw for 295 yards and 4 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 142. Puka Nacua had 9 catches for 117 yards in week 12, and Kyren Williams rushed for 72 yards on 16 carries. The Rams scored 7 points in the 1st quarter, 7 in the 3rd, and 6 in the 4th against the Eagles but failed to convert on 3rd down, going 0 for 8.

Rams Team Defense

Despite giving up 481 yards and 37 points in their most recent game against the Eagles, the Rams' defense was decent against the pass, allowing just 167 yards through the air. However, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 314 yards on the ground and 7.0 yards per attempt. The Eagles took advantage of this by running the ball 45 times, helping them to a 37-20 win over the Rams.

Los Angeles' defense allowed the Eagles to convert on 60% of their third down attempts. They managed only one sack and lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in the game.

Saints Preview:

After snapping a six-game losing streak with back-to-back wins, the Saints now sit at 4-7, placing them 20th in our power rankings and giving them a 3.7% chance of making the playoffs. New Orleans is 3-3 at home and 1-4 on the road, and they are 2-3 in division games. Their conference record is 3-4.

Against the spread, the Saints are 5-6, with an average scoring margin of +0.2 points per game. They have covered in two straight games, including a 21-point win over the Browns in week 11. The O/U line for that game was 44, and the teams combined for 49 points. New Orleans’ O/U record is 7-4 this season.

Saints Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Saints rank 16th in our offensive power rankings. They are 11th in the NFL in points per game (23.8) and yards per game (347.4). New Orleans is 17th in passing yards per game (216.6) on 31.2 attempts per game, which ranks 18th. On the ground, they average 130.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 9th, on 28.4 attempts per game. The Saints are 14th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 39% success rate, and 17th in red zone conversion percentage.

Derek Carr has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 129 in week 11, going 21/27 for 248 yards and 2 touchdowns. Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the team with 87 receiving yards on 2 catches, while Taysom Hill rushed for 138 yards and 3 touchdowns on 7 carries. However, the Saints will be without Chris Olave, who is on injured reserve with a concussion.

Saints Team Defense

Despite giving up 377 passing yards to the Browns, the Saints' defense held them to just a 23.1% conversion rate on third down in their most recent game. New Orleans also came away with three sacks and limited Cleveland to 66 rushing yards on 20 attempts. The Saints won the game 35-14, even though they allowed 443 total yards.

Rams vs Saints Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 24 points per game.
Through their last three home contests, the Saints offense has averaged 14 points per game while allowing an average of 25. New Orleans posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 0-3 ATS.
The last ten games that New Orleans was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Rams have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 6-4.