Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings Matchup

Read our Vikings vs Jaguars pick and preview for this NFL pre-season week 10 game in Jacksonville. Check out who we like to win and cover the spread in this regular season NFL matchup.

The Jaguars, who are the underdog at +165 on the money line, will host the Vikings at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville. The Vikings are favored by -4 on the road in this non-conference matchup. The over/under line is set at 47.5 points, and you can watch this one on FOX. The Vikings' record is missing, and the Jaguars need to add their record as well.

Vikings vs. Jaguars Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Minnesota Vikings at Jacksonville Jaguars
Where: Jacksonville at EverBank Stadium
Date: Sunday, November 10th
Betting Odds MIN -4, MIN -198 | JAX +165 O/U 47.5

Vikings Preview:

After back-to-back losses, the Vikings got back in the win column in week 9, defeating the Colts 21-13 to improve to 6-2. Minnesota was favored by 5.5 points and covered the spread, giving them a 6-2 record against the spread this season. They are 3-2 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is +7.4 points per game.

Heading into week 10, the Vikings rank 8th in our NFL power rankings and have an 81.3% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances of winning the NFC North are 12.7%. Minnesota is 2nd in the division with a 1-1 record and is 4-1 at home and 2-1 on the road.

Vikings Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, the Vikings are 13th in our offensive power rankings and are 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.1. They’ve been strong in the 1st quarter, leading the league in scoring. Minnesota ranks 13th in total yards per game (336.2) and 12th in passing yards (222.1), despite being 24th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 21st in rushing yards per game.

Sam Darnold threw for 290 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 9, completing 28 of 34 passes, but he did have 2 interceptions and was sacked 4 times. Justin Jefferson had 7 catches for 137 yards, and Aaron Jones rushed for 64 yards on 21 carries. The Vikings scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter and 7 in the 4th after being shut out in the 1st half.

Vikings Team Defense

The Vikings' defense was stingy in their most recent game, holding the Colts to just 159 passing yards and 68 rushing yards on 19 attempts. They also forced Indianapolis to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. Minnesota's defense didn't allow a passing touchdown and came away with one interception. They also recorded three sacks and limited the Colts to 13 points in their 21-13 victory.

Overall, the Vikings allowed just 227 total yards in the game. They also won the QB hit differential, despite losing the tackles for loss differential by -4. Minnesota held the Colts to a 59.3% completion rate in the game.

Jaguars Preview:

Jacksonville heads into week 10 against the Vikings looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 28-23 loss to the Eagles in week 9. The Jaguars were 7.5-point underdogs in that matchup, putting their record at 2-7, but they managed to cover the spread. They are 5-4 ATS this season, including three straight wins against the spread. Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS as underdogs but just 1-3 as favorites.

Jacksonville currently ranks 26th in our NFL power rankings and has a 3.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4th in the AFC South with a 1-1 division record and are 2-4 in conference play. The over has hit in five straight Jaguars games, and their O/U record is 6-3 this season.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

Jacksonville's offense has struggled on third down, ranking 27th in the NFL with a conversion rate of 31.6%. They are 19th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 21.7 points per game (17th) and 320.7 yards per game (21st). In the passing game, they average 207.2 yards per game, ranking 17th, and 113.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 22nd.

Trevor Lawrence had a rough outing in week 9, posting a passer rating of 40 with 169 yards and 2 interceptions against the Eagles. Before that, he threw for 308 yards in week 8 and 193 yards in week 7. Evan Engram led the team in receiving in week 9 with 5 catches for 45 yards, while Travis Etienne Jr. had 24 rushing yards on 3 carries.

Jaguars Team Defense

The Jaguars' defense gave up 237 rushing yards to the Eagles in their most recent game, despite forcing three sacks and three tackles for loss. The Eagles ran for 5.2 yards per attempt and finished with 447 total yards in their 28-23 win over Jacksonville. The Jaguars did limit Philadelphia to 18 completions for 210 yards through the air, but the Eagles managed to hit on big plays in the running game.

Jacksonville allowed the Eagles to convert on 52.9% of their third down attempts and gave up two passing touchdowns. Philadelphia also found success on the ground, averaging 237 rushing yards on 46 attempts.

Vikings vs Jaguars Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last five games away from home, the Vikings have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 24 points per game in these contests.
Across the Jaguars last ten home games, the team averaged 18 points per game while allowing 27. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 2-8 straight-up.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the underdog, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
The last three games that Minnesota was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.