Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 5 Colts vs Jaguars pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Jaguars are favored at -152 on the money line as they face the Colts at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville. The Colts are +127 on the money line, and the Jaguars are -3 point favorites on the point spread. This week five matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 46 points.

Colts vs. Jaguars Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Where: Jacksonville at EverBank Stadium
Date: Sunday, October 6th
Betting Odds JAX -3, IND +127 | JAX -152 O/U 46

Colts Preview:

The Colts' 27-24 win over the Steelers brought their record to 2-2 for the season. Indianapolis overcame an early 14-0 deficit, with Joe Flacco's touchdown to Josh Downs helping them take a 17-3 lead at halftime. The Colts then had to fight back in the 4th quarter, as the Steelers tied the game at 24 with 3:45 remaining. However, Indianapolis came out on top, with Matt Gay's 35-yard field goal and a late defensive stand sealing the win.

Indianapolis entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs, and their straight-up victory was a profitable one for those who backed them on the moneyline. The combined 51 points easily surpassed the over/under line of 41 points.

Colts Offense Breakdown

Indianapolis' offense picked up 22 first downs in their 27-24 win over the Steelers. They rushed for 133 yards on 32 attempts and were effective on third down, converting 53.3% of their chances. Joe Flacco threw for 168 yards and two touchdowns, finishing with a passer rating of 105.

Jonathan Taylor led the ground game with 88 yards and a touchdown, while Michael Pittman Jr. was the top receiver with 113 yards on six catches. Flacco completed 61% of his passes and was sacked twice, finishing with 168 yards through the air.

Colts Team Defense

In the Colts' 27-24 win over the Steelers, their defense allowed 404 yards, with Pittsburgh converting on 46.2% of their third down attempts. Indianapolis gave up 282 passing yards on 22 completions, and the Steelers averaged 8.3 yards per pass attempt. The Colts also allowed 122 rushing yards on 30 attempts (4.1 yards per attempt) and one touchdown.

Indianapolis' defense did manage to sack the quarterback four times in the game, and they also won the QB hit, and tackles for loss differentials.

Jaguars Preview:

The Jaguars are still looking for their first win of the season after dropping their most recent game against the Texans by a score of 24-20. Jacksonville took an early 10-7 lead, but Houston responded and led 14-13 at halftime. The Jaguars retook the lead in the 3rd quarter, with Trevor Lawrence finding the endzone twice to put them up 20-17 heading into the 4th quarter. However, the Texans outscored Jacksonville 7-0 in the final period to secure the win.

Despite the loss, the Jaguars covered the spread as 5.5-point underdogs. The combined 44 points was just short of the over/under line of 44.5 points. This was a tough loss for Jacksonville, as they were so close to their first win of the season.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

The Jaguars' offense managed 17 first downs in their 24-20 loss to the Texans, piling up 158 yards on the ground on 24 attempts. However, their passing game struggled, with Trevor Lawrence completing just 18 of 33 passes for 155 yards. Lawrence did throw two touchdowns and ended with a passer rating of 89.

Jacksonville's running back Tank Bigsby was their leading rusher, gaining 90 yards with a big chunk coming on a 58-yard run. Brian Thomas Jr. led the team in receiving with 86 yards and one touchdown. The Jaguars' offense struggled on third down, converting only 33.3% of their chances.

Jaguars Team Defense

In their 24-20 loss to the Texans, the Jaguars' defense allowed 27 completions for 334 yards through the air. They struggled to get off the field on third down, allowing the Texans to convert 53.8% of their third down attempts. Overall, the Jaguars gave up 435 total yards and allowed Houston to average 8.4 yards per pass attempt.

Jacksonville's run defense held up better, allowing just 101 yards on 26 attempts (3.9 yards per attempt). They managed two sacks and had a positive differential in quarterback hits and tackles for loss. Despite this, the Jaguars still allowed the Texans to control the ball for long stretches and convert key third downs.

Colts vs Jaguars Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past five road matchups, Indianapolis has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
Jacksonville has a 0-3 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 15 points per game while allowing 30. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Colts have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
As the betting favorite, the Jaguars have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Jacksonville posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.