Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 11 Jaguars vs Lions pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in Detroit.

The Jaguars and Lions will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are heavily favored, with money line odds of -794 compared to the Jaguars' +522. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS, with the Lions favored by -13 points and the over/under line set at 47.5 points.

Jaguars vs. Lions Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions
Where: Detroit at Ford Field
Date: Sunday, November 17th
Betting Odds DET -13, JAX +522 | DET -794 O/U 47.5

Jaguars Preview:

Jacksonville heads into week 11 on a three-game losing streak, including a 12-7 home loss to the Vikings in week 10. This dropped the Jaguars to 2-8, leaving them 29th in our power rankings and giving them just a 1.5% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4th in the AFC South, with a 1-1 record in division games.

So far, Jacksonville is 6-4 against the spread, including four straight ATS wins. In week 10, they covered as 7-point underdogs vs Minnesota. The O/U line for that game was 42.5 points, with the teams combining for 19.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 11, the Jaguars rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.2, and 25th in yards per game with 302.9. Jacksonville ranks 23rd in passing yards per game (195.2) and 25th in rushing yards per game (107.7). They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 33% of their attempts, which ranks 27th in the league. However, they are 7th in the NFL in red zone attempts.

In week 10, the Jaguars scored just 7 points, all coming in the 1st quarter, in a loss to the Vikings. Mac Jones threw for 111 yards on 14/22 passing, with 2 interceptions. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing with 44 yards on 11 carries, while Evan Engram had 6 catches for 40 yards. Jacksonville did convert 5 of their 11 3rd down attempts and scored on their only red zone trip.

Jaguars Team Defense

Jacksonville's defense played well in coverage, forcing three interceptions and holding the Vikings to 12 points in their most recent game. Despite this, the Jaguars lost 12-7. The defense struggled against the run, allowing 169 yards on 43 attempts and giving up 233 yards passing. They managed only one sack and had a tackles for loss differential of -4.

Lions Preview:

Heading into week 11, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 99.4% chance of making the playoffs, along with an 82.4% chance of winning the NFC North. Detroit currently holds a 7-game winning streak, putting their record at 8-1. After a week 2 loss to the Buccaneers, the Lions have bounced back with 7 straight wins, including a 38-point victory over the Titans in week 8 and a 10-point win over the Packers in week 9. In week 10, they narrowly defeated the Texans 26-23, but failed to cover the 4-point spread.

Detroit has an average scoring margin of +12.6 points per game and is 7-2 against the spread this season. They are 6-2 ATS as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-4-1, with their games averaging 50.6 points compared to an average line of 50.

Lions Offense Breakdown

Jared Goff had a rough outing in week 10, throwing 5 interceptions against the Texans, despite finishing with 240 passing yards and 2 touchdowns. He completed 15 of 30 passes, resulting in a passer rating of 59. Sam LaPorta led the team in receiving with 3 catches for 66 yards and a touchdown, while Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 71 yards on 19 carries. The Lions scored 13 points in the 4th quarter and converted 7 of 12 third-down attempts.

Detroit's offense is currently 4th in our power rankings, and they are 2nd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 31.6 points per game. They rank 14th in passing yards per game (219.6) and 7th in rushing yards per game (147.3), despite being 27th in passing attempts per game. The Lions are 6th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage.

Lions Team Defense

The Lions' defense came up with two interceptions and four sacks in their 26-23 win over the Texans, holding Houston to 192 passing yards. Detroit defended the run well, allowing just 56 yards on 28 attempts. The Lions' defense limited the Texans to 248 total yards and gave up just one touchdown through the air.

Jaguars vs Lions Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last five road contests, Jacksonville has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-5, while averaging 17 points per game.
Across their last three home contests, Detroit has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 27 points per game.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 4-1.
Through their last five games as the favorite, the Lions have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 5-0.