Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 9 Chargers vs Browns pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Chargers are favored on the road with a money line of -126 as they take on the Browns at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The Browns' money line odds are +106, and the point spread has the Chargers -2. This week nine AFC matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 42 points.

Chargers vs. Browns Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns
Where: Cleveland at Huntington Bank Field
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Betting Odds LAC -2, LAC -126 | CLE +106 O/U 42

Chargers Preview:

After a week 7 loss to the Cardinals, the Chargers rebounded with a 26-8 win over the Saints in week 8, bringing their record to 4-3. Los Angeles entered the game as 7.5-point favorites and covered the spread with an 18-point victory. The combined 34 points fell short of the 41.5-point line, marking the Chargers’ second straight under.

Heading into week 9, the Chargers have a 60.4% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They rank 20th in our NFL power rankings and are 4-2-1 against the spread this season, with all four of their ATS wins coming as favorites. Their O/U record stands at 1-6, with their games averaging 31.9 points compared to a 39.9-point line.

Chargers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Chargers are 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game (18.9) and 22nd in yards per game (311.1). Los Angeles ranks 23rd in passing attempts and passing yards per game, averaging 194 yards through the air. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing attempts and 20th in rushing yards per game. The Chargers have been efficient in the red zone, converting 93.8% of their opportunities, which ranks 2nd in the league.

Justin Herbert has gone three straight games without an interception and posted a passer rating of 111 in week 8, throwing for 279 yards and 2 touchdowns. J.K. Dobbins led the team with 57 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Ladd McConkey had 6 catches for 111 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Chargers scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against the Saints but struggled on 3rd down, converting only 3 of 12 attempts.

Chargers Team Defense

The Chargers' defense was dominant on third downs in their 26-8 win over the Saints, allowing just a 12.5% conversion rate. They also came up with five sacks and limited New Orleans to 52.4% completions. The Chargers' secondary didn't allow a passing touchdown and gave up just 249 yards through the air.

Despite struggling against the run, allowing 117 yards on just 21 attempts, the Chargers were able to keep the Saints out of the endzone and secure the win.

Browns Preview:

Heading into week 9, the Browns hold a 2-6 record, placing them 4th in the AFC North. They have a -6 scoring margin and are 3-5 against the spread. As favorites, they are 0-3 ATS, but they are 3-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-5, with their games averaging 40.5 points compared to an average line of 41.3.

After six straight losses, Cleveland got back in the win column in week 8, beating the Ravens 29-24. The Browns were +7 underdogs and covered the spread, bringing their record to 2-6. The combined 53 points went over the 44.5-point line. Before this, they lost to the Bengals in week 7, the Eagles in week 6, and the Commanders in week 5.

Browns Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Browns rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 27th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.2, and 30th in yards per game with 272.2. Despite ranking 3rd in passing attempts, they are 28th in passing yards per game, with 179.8. On the ground, Cleveland ranks 22nd in rushing attempts and 27th in rushing yards per game, averaging 92.5. They are 29th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 27.7% success rate, but lead the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.

Jameis Winston took over at quarterback in week 8, throwing for 334 yards and 3 touchdowns in the Browns’ 29-24 win over the Ravens. Cedric Tillman had 7 catches for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nick Chubb rushed for 52 yards on 16 carries. Cleveland scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter and 9 in the 4th.

Browns Team Defense

The Browns' defense held the Ravens to a 20% conversion rate on third down in their 29-24 win, and they also came up with three sacks in the game. Despite their success on third downs and getting to the quarterback, the Browns gave up 124 rushing yards on just 21 attempts. Baltimore finished with 387 total yards, but Cleveland's defense did enough to help secure the win.

In the passing game, the Browns allowed 263 yards through the air, with Baltimore completing 60.5% of their passes. Cleveland gave up two passing touchdowns and finished with a tackles for loss advantage of +1.

Chargers vs Browns Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last ten games away from home, the Chargers have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 17 points per game in this stretch.
In their last three games at home, the Browns have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 15 points per game in this stretch.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Browns have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Chargers have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.