Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers Matchup

Check out our week 11 Bengals vs. Chargers pick and preview to get our insight on to who will win and cover in Inglewood.

The Chargers are favored at -120 on the money line in their week 11 matchup against the Bengals. The game, which is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, will kick off at 8:20 ET and is being televised on NBC. The point spread has the Chargers at -1.5, and the over/under line is at 46.5 points. The Chargers and Bengals are both looking to improve their records in this AFC matchup.

Bengals vs. Chargers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers
Where: Inglewood at SoFi Stadium
Date: Sunday, November 17th
Betting Odds LAC -1.5, CIN +100 | LAC -120 O/U 46.5

Bengals Preview:

Heading into week 11, the Bengals are 15th in our power rankings and have a 36.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4-6 this season and sit 3rd in the AFC North. Cincinnati is 1-4 at home but 3-2 on the road, including a win over the Browns in week 7. After that, they lost to the Eagles in week 8 but bounced back with a 17-point win over the Raiders in week 9. In week 10, they couldn’t hold on to a 4th-quarter lead against the Ravens, losing 35-34, but they did cover the spread as 6-point underdogs.

The Bengals are 6-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +0.8. They have covered in two straight games, including their win over the Raiders in week 9. Their O/U record is 7-3, with the over hitting in three consecutive games. Their matchups have averaged 53.2 points per game, with an average line of 46.2.

Bengals Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 11, the Bengals sit 5th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27 points per game, which also ranks 5th in the NFL. They are 12th in the league in yards per game, with 344.5, and have been heavily reliant on their passing game, ranking 6th in pass attempts and 4th in passing yards per game (254.8). On the ground, they rank 24th in rushing attempts and 29th in rushing yards per game, averaging 89.7. Cincinnati has been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.3% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the NFL, but they are 23rd in red zone conversion percentage.

Joe Burrow is coming off a 428-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 10 against the Ravens, completing 34 of 56 passes without an interception. Ja'Marr Chase had a huge game, catching 11 passes for 264 yards and 3 touchdowns. Chase Brown led the rushing attack with 42 yards on 13 carries, while Burrow was sacked 3 times in the loss.

Bengals Team Defense

The Bengals' defense struggled to generate pressure in their most recent game, failing to record any sacks and losing the QB hit battle by a margin of -12. Despite this, they did win the tackles for loss battle. Cincinnati gave up 290 passing yards to the Ravens, with Baltimore completing 75.8% of their passes for four touchdowns. The Bengals' inability to get off the field on third down was also an issue, as they allowed the Ravens to convert 58.3% of their third down attempts.

Overall, the Bengals allowed 389 yards in their 35-34 loss to the Ravens. On the ground, Baltimore ran for 99 yards on 25 attempts, averaging 4.0 yards per attempt against Cincinnati.

Chargers Preview:

The Chargers have won three straight games, including a 27-17 victory over the Titans in week 10. They entered the game as 8.5-point favorites and covered the spread, bringing their record to 6-3. Los Angeles also covered in wins over the Browns (week 9) and Saints (week 8). After their third consecutive win, the Chargers have an 88.2% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections.

Heading into week 11, the Chargers rank 16th in our NFL power rankings. They have a +7.6 scoring margin and are 6-2-1 against the spread. They are 6-1 ATS as favorites but 0-1-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 2-7, with an average of 33.8 points scored in their games.

Chargers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 11, the Chargers are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 16th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.7, and are 22nd in passing yards per game with 196.4. Despite being 30th in passing attempts, they rank 12th in 3rd-down conversions and 6th in red zone conversion percentage. On the ground, LA ranks 19th in rushing yards per game, with 117.9, on 29.6 attempts per game.

Justin Herbert posted a passer rating of 123 in week 10, going 14/18 for 164 yards and a touchdown. Ladd McConkey led the team with 52 receiving yards, and Gus Edwards had 55 rushing yards on 10 carries. The Chargers scored 7 points in the 3rd and 4th quarters against the Titans, converting 3/5 red zone opportunities.

Chargers Team Defense

The Chargers' defense recorded seven sacks and limited the Titans to 33.3% on third down in their 27-17 win. Despite giving up 132 rushing yards on just 21 attempts, the Chargers held the Titans to 157 passing yards. Tennessee did manage to complete 78.3% of their passes, resulting in two passing touchdowns.

Los Angeles' pass rush was dominant, leading to a high number of sacks and keeping the Titans' passing game in check. However, they will look to improve against the run in future games, as they allowed 132 yards at 6.3 yards per attempt.

Bengals vs Chargers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past five road matchups, Cincinnati has an ATS record of 5-0 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
When looking at their past ten home matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bengals have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-3.
Los Angeles has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.