Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 5 Bills vs Texans pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Texans are the slight underdog at -103 on the money line as they host the Bills at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th at NRG Stadium in Houston. Buffalo is favored at -118 on the money line and -1 on the point spread. The over/under line is sitting at 47.5 points. This week five AFC matchup is being televised on CBS.

Bills vs. Texans Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
Where: Houston at NRG Stadium
Date: Sunday, October 6th
Betting Odds BUF -1, BUF -118 | HOU -103 O/U 47.5

Bills Preview:

The Bills were handed their first loss of the season by the Ravens, with Buffalo falling 35-10 on the road. Buffalo's record is now 3-1 after the 25-point defeat. Buffalo was +2.5 point underdogs and did not cover the spread in the 24-point loss. The combined 45 points was short of the O/U line of 47.5 points.

After a Derrick Henry touchdown for the Ravens, Buffalo responded with a 50-yard field goal from Tyler Bass to make it 7-3 in the 1st quarter. However, the Ravens dominated the 2nd quarter, scoring two touchdowns and leading 21-3 at halftime. Josh Allen's 52-yard touchdown pass to Khalil Shakir was one of Buffalo's few highlights in the 3rd quarter.

Bills Offense Breakdown

In their 35-10 loss to the Ravens, the Bills' offense struggled to move the ball, finishing with just 12 first downs and 155 yards. They were also held to 23 rushing attempts for 81 yards. Josh Allen went 16/29 for 180 yards and was sacked three times, ending the game with a passer rating of 73 and no touchdowns.

Buffalo's offense couldn't convert on third down, managing just a 23.1% conversion rate. James Cook led the team in rushing with 39 yards, while Khalil Shakir was the top receiver with 62 yards, 52 of which came on a single catch. The Bills' inability to sustain drives and finish with touchdowns was a key factor in their lopsided defeat.

Bills Team Defense

Buffalo's defense struggled to stop the run in their 35-10 loss to the Ravens, giving up 271 rushing yards on just 34 attempts. Despite this, the Ravens only managed 156 yards through the air, averaging 8.2 yards per attempt. The Bills allowed two passing touchdowns and a 73.7% completion rate to Baltimore.

On the defensive front, Buffalo recorded only one sack and allowed the Ravens to convert on 55.6% of their third down attempts. Even though they struggled to stop the run, Buffalo's defense limited Baltimore to just 14 completions.

Texans Preview:

The Texans are now 3-1 after their 24-20 win over the Jaguars in their most recent game. Houston had to come from behind in this one, as they were down 20-17 heading into the 4th quarter. C.J. Stroud's touchdown pass to Nico Collins with just 22 seconds left sealed the win for the Texans. Houston went into the game as -5.5 point favorites but didn't cover the spread, and the combined 44 points was just under the O/U line of 44.5 points.

The Texans initially fell behind when the Jaguars scored a touchdown with 12:48 remaining in the 1st quarter. However, Houston responded with a touchdown of their own from Stefon Diggs to tie the game at 7. After a Jaguars field goal, the Texans took a 14-10 lead in the 2nd quarter when C.J. Stroud found Cade Stover for a touchdown. After the Jaguars added a field goal, Stroud connected with Dalton Schultz for another touchdown to give Houston a 20-13 lead just before halftime.

Texans Offense Breakdown

Quarterback C.J. Stroud threw for 345 yards, completing 27 of 40 passes (67%) and finishing with a passer rating of 110 in the Texans' 24-20 win over the Jaguars. Houston's offense put up 26 first downs and 334 yards through the air, with Stroud throwing two touchdown passes and not turning the ball over.

Nico Collins led the Texans' receiving corps with 151 yards and a touchdown. Houston struggled to run the ball, managing just 101 yards on 26 attempts. Stroud was sacked twice in the game, and the Texans converted on 53.8% of their third down opportunities.

Texans Team Defense

Despite allowing 158 rushing yards on just 24 attempts, the Texans' defense held the Jaguars to 155 passing yards in their most recent game, a 24-20 win for Houston. The Texans gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed Jacksonville to complete just 54.5% of their passes. Houston's defense also held the Jaguars to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

Even though they only managed one sack, the Texans did have three more quarterback hits than Jacksonville. The Texans will be looking to shore up their run defense in the upcoming weeks, as they allowed 6.6 yards per attempt on the ground in this game.

Bills vs Texans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Buffalo has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 20 points per game while allowing 19. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
Across the Texans last ten home games, the team averaged 19 points per game while allowing 24. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 5-5 straight-up.
The last three games that Houston was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
As the betting favorite, the Bills have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Buffalo posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.