Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Matchup

Check out our week Divisional round Ravens vs. Bills pick and preview to get our insight on to who will win and cover in Orchard Park.

The Ravens are favored on the road as they take on the Bills in an AFC matchup at 6:30 ET on Sunday, January 19th. The game, being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY, has Baltimore at -117 on the money line and Buffalo at -102. CBS is handling the television coverage, and the Ravens are -1 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 51.5 points.

Ravens vs. Bills Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Where: Orchard Park at Highmark Stadium
Date: Sunday, January 19th
Betting Odds BAL -1, BAL -117 | BUF -102 O/U 51.5

Ravens Preview:

After finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record, the Ravens hold the top spot in the AFC North and rank third in the conference. Baltimore ended the season on a four-game winning streak, including a 28-14 victory over the Steelers in the Wild Card round. The Ravens were favored by 8.5 points and covered the spread, but the teams combined for 42 points, falling short of the 44.5-point line.

Heading into the playoffs, Baltimore ranked second in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +9.5 points per game and are 11-6-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 13-5, with their games averaging 51.2 points compared to a 47.1-point line.

Ravens Offense Breakdown

We have the Ravens at the top of our offensive power rankings heading into the divisional round. They lead the NFL in yards per game (427.1) and are 3rd in points per game, averaging 30.3. Baltimore has leaned heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and leading the league with 193.8 rushing yards per game. On 3rd down, they rank 3rd in the NFL with a conversion rate of 48.2%.

Lamar Jackson had a strong performance in the Wild Card round, posting a passer rating of 132 and throwing for 175 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. Derrick Henry rushed for 186 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 carries against the Steelers. Isaiah Likely led the team in receiving with 53 yards on 3 catches.

Ravens Team Defense

Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, the Ravens' defense held the Steelers to just 29 yards rushing on 11 attempts in their 28-14 win. The Ravens allowed 251 yards through the air on 20 completions, with Pittsburgh finishing with 280 total yards. Baltimore's defense recorded four sacks and held the Steelers to a 45.5% third-down conversion rate.

The Ravens' defense also came out on top in the quarterback hit battle, with a +6 differential, but they did allow 8.4 yards per attempt in the passing game. Even though they gave up some big plays, their ability to shut down the run game was a major factor in this game.

Bills Preview:

Buffalo finished the regular season at 13-4, going 5-1 in the division and 10-3 in the AFC, which earned them the 2nd seed in the conference. They are 3rd in our power rankings heading into the divisional round. After two straight losses, the Bills bounced back with a 31-10 win over the Dolphins in week 2. They were 2.5-point underdogs in that game, but they covered the spread with ease. The O/U line was 49 points, and the teams combined for 41.

Buffalo has an average scoring margin of +10.1 points per game and is 11-7 against the spread this season. They are 9-5 ATS as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is also 11-7, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Bills Offense Breakdown

Josh Allen had a strong performance in the Wild Card round, completing 20 of 26 passes for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 135. Curtis Samuel led the team with 68 receiving yards on 3 catches, while James Cook rushed for 120 yards on 23 carries. Buffalo converted 53.3% of their 3rd downs (8/15) but struggled in the red zone, going 1/5.

Buffalo ranks 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 30.9, and they are 9th in passing yards per game with 229.8. They also rank 9th in rushing yards per game, averaging 135.6, on 29.7 attempts per game. The Bills are 7th in the league in 3rd down conversion percentage.

Bills Team Defense

Buffalo's defense was dominant in their 31-7 win over the Broncos, holding Denver to just 79 yards on 17 rushing attempts. The Bills' secondary allowed only 145 passing yards on 14 completions, with one touchdown coming against them. Denver struggled on third down, converting just 22.2% of their chances.

The Bills' defense also came away with two sacks and limited the Broncos to 224 total yards. Buffalo's defense won the battle up front, coming away with a positive tackles for loss differential.

Ravens vs Bills Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

The Ravens are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
Through their last ten home games, Buffalo has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 27 points per game.
In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bills have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Ravens have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.