Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Matchup

In this week 5 NFL regular season preview between Buccaneers and Falcons, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

AMZN will broadcast the week five NFC South matchup between the Falcons and Buccaneers, which kicks off at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 3rd. The Falcons are the favorite with a money line of -124 and are -1.5 point favorites on the road. The over/under line is 43.5 points.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Where: Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Date: Thursday, October 3rd
Betting Odds ATL -1.5, TB +104 | ATL -124 O/U 43.5

Buccaneers Preview:

After falling behind 24-0 in the 2nd quarter, the Buccaneers rallied to beat the Eagles 33-16, improving their record to 3-1. Tampa Bay went into the game as +1 point underdogs, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The final score of 33-16 gave the Buccaneers a 17-point win, and the combined 49 points resulted in an over in the betting totals.

The Buccaneers got on the board in the 2nd quarter with a touchdown from Baker Mayfield to Mike Evans. They added another touchdown in the 3rd quarter, with Saquon Barkley rushing for a 59-yard score. Even though the Eagles pulled within 30-16 in the 3rd quarter, the Buccaneers added a field goal in the 4th to put the game out of reach.

Buccaneers Offense Breakdown

The Buccaneers' offense put up 29 first downs in their 33-16 win over the Eagles, racking up 334 yards through the air. Baker Mayfield threw for 347 yards, completing 63% of his passes and throwing two touchdowns. Tampa Bay's ground game produced 111 yards on 25 attempts.

Mike Evans led the receiving corps with 94 yards and a touchdown, while Bucky Irving was the leading rusher with 49 yards on 10 carries, including one touchdown and a 15-yard run. The Buccaneers' offense converted on 46.2% of their third down attempts and allowed two sacks.

Buccaneers Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Buccaneers' defense allowed just 114 passing yards on 18 completions to the Eagles. They also recorded six sacks and held Philadelphia to 46.2% on third down. The Eagles rushed for 113 yards on 20 attempts and scored one rushing touchdown. Tampa Bay's offense put up 227 yards in their 33-16 win over Philadelphia.

Falcons Preview:

Despite being favored by -2.5, the Falcons managed to pull out a 26-24 win over the Saints, moving their record to 2-2. Atlanta's 58-yard field goal from Younghoe Koo with seven seconds left sealed the victory. The game's 50 combined points went over the total line of 42.5.

Atlanta was tied 7-7 after the 1st quarter and took a 17-14 lead at halftime with a 26-yard touchdown from Kirk Cousins to Bijan Robinson. The Falcons added two more field goals in the 4th quarter, and the Saints took a brief 24-23 lead with 29 seconds left in the 4th.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

The Falcons' offense managed just 14 first downs in their 26-24 win over the Saints, and they struggled to get much going on the ground with only 88 yards on 15 attempts. Kirk Cousins, who threw for 238 yards with no touchdowns and a passer rating of 68, led Atlanta's passing attack. He completed 21 of 35 passes.

Drake London was the leading receiver with 64 yards on six catches. Atlanta's offense also took one sack and turned the ball over once on an interception. They finished with a total of 227 passing yards.

Falcons Team Defense

Atlanta's defense played well on third downs in their 26-24 win over the Saints, holding New Orleans to a 46.2% conversion rate. They also came up with a key interception, even though the Saints completed 77.8% of their passes. The Falcons allowed 131 rushing yards on 33 attempts and 235 passing yards. The defense managed just one sack but did win the tackles for loss battle by a margin of +2.

Overall, the Falcons' defense kept the Saints out of the endzone, as New Orleans failed to score a touchdown. They'll look to improve defending the run and generating more pressure on the quarterback in their next game.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last five road games, Tampa Bay has averaged 23 points per game while allowing 18 . The team's record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
Through their last three home contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 18 points per game while allowing an average of 35. Atlanta posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
Tampa Bay has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Falcons have gone 2-8 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.