Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 10 Falcons vs Saints pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in New Orleans.

With the Falcons favored on the road, Atlanta is -3.5 point favorites and has a money line of -179 as they take on the Saints at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th. The Saints, the underdog at +151, will look to improve their record in this NFC South matchup. The game, played at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, is being televised on FOX. The over/under line is set at 46.5 points.

Falcons vs. Saints Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
Where: New Orleans at Caesars Superdome
Date: Sunday, November 10th
Betting Odds ATL -3.5, ATL -179 | NO +151 O/U 46.5

Falcons Preview:

With a 6-3 record, the Falcons sit atop the NFC South and have an 86% chance of making the playoffs, including an 80% chance of winning the division. Atlanta is 4-0 in division games and 3-0 on the road, while they are 3-3 at home. They are currently on a two-game winning streak, including a 27-21 win over the Cowboys in week 9.

Atlanta is 5-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +0.6 points per game. They have covered in two straight games, including a 6-point win over the Cowboys as 3-point favorites in week 9. The O/U record in Falcons games is 4-5, with an average of 48.6 points scored per game.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, the Falcons are 8th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 12th in the NFL in points per game (24.6) and 8th in yards per game (364.8). Atlanta is 6th in passing yards per game, averaging 246.3 on 33 attempts per contest. On the ground, they rank 19th in rushing attempts and 18th in rushing yards per game (118.4). The Falcons are 13th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.5% success rate, and they rank 16th in red-zone conversion percentage.

Kirk Cousins has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 144 in week 9 against the Cowboys, with 222 yards and 3 touchdowns on 19-of-24 passing. In week 8, he threw for 276 yards and 4 touchdowns, and in week 7, he had 232 yards and 1 touchdown. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing in week 9, with 86 yards on 19 carries, while Darnell Mooney had 5 catches for 88 yards and a touchdown.

Falcons Team Defense

In their 27-21 win over the Cowboys, the Falcons' defense allowed 378 total yards, with Dallas rushing for 137 yards on just 21 attempts. Atlanta gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed Dallas to complete 62% of their passes for 241 yards. The Falcons' defense held the Cowboys to a 23.1% conversion rate on third down and recorded three sacks in the game.

The Falcons' run defense struggled, allowing Dallas to average 6.5 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite this, Atlanta's defense made key plays on third down and in the passing game to help secure the victory.

Saints Preview:

New Orleans heads into week 10 against the Falcons looking to snap a seven-game losing streak. After starting the season with two straight wins, the Saints have dropped seven in a row, including a 23-22 loss to the Panthers in week 9. New Orleans was a 7-point favorite in that game, but the loss dropped their record to 2-7, leaving them 4th in the NFC South. Our projections give the Saints just a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.2% chance of winning the division.

Against the spread, the Saints are 3-6 this season and have failed to cover in five straight games. Their average scoring margin is -2.4 points per game. New Orleans’ O/U record is 6-3, with their games averaging 48.4 points per game compared to an average line of 43.1.

Saints Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, the Saints are 15th in the NFL in points per game (23) and 16th in yards per game (331.4). They rank 14th in passing attempts and 18th in passing yards per game, averaging 206.1. On the ground, they are 9th in rushing attempts and 13th in rushing yards per game (125.3). New Orleans is 16th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.1% success rate, and they rank 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 10th in red zone attempts.

In week 9, Derek Carr threw for 236 yards (18/31) and a touchdown, without an interception, against the Panthers. Alvin Kamara had a big game, rushing for 155 yards on 29 carries and leading the team in receiving with 6 catches for 60 yards. The Saints scored in every quarter, putting up 6 points in the 1st, 7 in the 2nd, 3 in the 3rd, and 6 in the 4th.

Saints Team Defense

In their 23-22 loss to the Panthers, the Saints' defense allowed just 246 total yards. They held Carolina to 80 rushing yards on 23 attempts and limited them to 6.4 yards per attempt in the passing game. The Saints gave up only 166 passing yards and forced one interception.

New Orleans allowed the Panthers to convert on 40% of their third down attempts and recorded one sack. Despite this, the Saints were unable to come out with a win, as the Panthers managed to score just enough to pull out a one-point victory.

Falcons vs Saints Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last five road contests, Atlanta has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 25 points per game.
Through their last ten home contests, the Saints offense has averaged 22 points per game while allowing an average of 24. New Orleans posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 4-6 ATS.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Saints have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
The Falcons have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.