Atlanta Falcons vs Las Vegas Raiders Matchup

Check out our week 15 Falcons vs. Raiders pick and preview to get our insight on to who will win and cover in Las Vegas.

ESPN is set to broadcast the week 15 non-conference matchup between the Falcons and the Raiders on Monday, December 16th at 8:30 ET. The Falcons are favored on the road with a money line of -227, while the Raiders' money line sits at +185. The Falcons are -4.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is at 44 points.

Falcons vs. Raiders Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: Atlanta Falcons at Las Vegas Raiders
  • Where: Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium
  • Date: Monday, December 16th
  • Betting Odds ATL -4.5, ATL -227 | LV +185 O/U 44

Falcons Preview:

Heading into week 15, the Falcons are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 42-21 loss to the Vikings in week 14. This dropped Atlanta to 6-7 on the season, putting them 2nd in the NFC South. Despite their losing streak, the Falcons are 4-1 in division games, and our projections give them a 26% chance of winning the NFC South and a 30.6% chance of making the playoffs.

In our power rankings, the Falcons sit 19th, and they have an average scoring margin of -4.2 points per game. Against the spread, Atlanta is 5-8 this season, and they have failed to cover in four straight games. Their O/U record is also 5-8, with their games averaging 47 points compared to an average line of 46.5.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 15, the Falcons are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 17th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.4 points per game, and are 18th in 3rd-down conversion rate at 37.3%. Atlanta is 2nd in passing yards, with 250.2 per game, on 34 attempts per contest. They also average 120.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 12th in the league, on 27.6 carries per game.

Kirk Cousins threw for 344 yards in week 14, completing 23 of 37 passes, but he also had 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. Bijan Robinson rushed for 92 yards on 22 carries, while Darnell Mooney led the team with 6 catches for 142 yards. The Falcons scored 21 points, with 11 coming in the 3rd quarter, and converted 7 of 13 3rd-down attempts.

Falcons Team Defense

In their 42-21 loss to the Vikings, the Falcons' defense struggled to defend the pass, giving up 318 yards through the air and allowing Minnesota to complete 78.6% of their passes. Atlanta's defense also allowed five passing touchdowns and a 66.7% third-down conversion rate. Despite this, they did manage to come away with four sacks.

On the ground, the Falcons allowed 115 rushing yards on 24 attempts, with Minnesota averaging 4.8 yards per attempt. Atlanta will need to improve defensively to help out their offense, which put up 433 total yards in the game.

Raiders Preview:

The Raiders enter week 15 against the Falcons on a nine-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-11. This includes an 0-5 mark in the AFC West, leaving them in 4th place in the division and 16th in the conference. After their latest loss to the Bucs in week 14, Las Vegas has a 1-4 record at home and is 1-7 on the road.

With no playoff chances, the Raiders rank 25th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of -9.6 points per game and are 5-8 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-5, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Raiders Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 15, the Raiders rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in both points per game (18.2) and yards per game (303). Despite ranking 4th in passing attempts per game (37.5), they are 16th in passing yards per game, with 223.9. On the ground, the Raiders are 29th in rushing attempts and last in rushing yards per game, averaging 79.1.

Las Vegas has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 34.3% of their attempts, which ranks 26th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 54.3% of their opportunities, which ranks 4th. Aidan O’Connell, who is questionable for week 15, threw for just 104 yards and had an interception in week 14 after his 340-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 13.

Raiders Team Defense

Despite coming up with four sacks and two interceptions, the Raiders' defense struggled in their 28-13 loss to the Buccaneers. They allowed 152 rushing yards on just 26 attempts, with Tampa Bay averaging 5.8 yards per attempt on the ground. Las Vegas gave up 268 passing yards on 18 completions, including three touchdowns through the air.

Opposing offenses are finding success on third downs against the Raiders, as the Buccaneers converted 41.7% of their third down attempts. Las Vegas also allowed big plays in the passing game, with Tampa Bay averaging 9.2 yards per attempt.

Falcons vs Raiders Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • Through their last three road games, Atlanta has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 14 points per game.
  • Across the Raiders last five home games, the team averaged 17 points per game while allowing 28. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 0-5 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team's last five games as the underdog, the Raiders have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
  • The Falcons have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Falcons vs Raiders Free Pick

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