San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Rebels Matchup

Check out our free San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Rebels pick and preview for this CFB week 12 game in Las Vegas. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 12 CFB matchup.

UNLV is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against San Diego State, with the point spread sitting at -20.5 in their favor. The game is set for 10:30 ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, and you can catch the action on CBSS. The over/under line is at 54.5 points. UNLV comes in with a 7-2 record, while San Diego State is 3-6 for the season.

Aztecs vs. Rebels Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: San Diego State Aztecs at UNLV Rebels
Where: Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 16th
Betting Odds UNLV -20.5, SDST +778 | UNLV -1412 O/U 54.5

Aztecs Preview:

San Diego State enters Week 12 with a 3-6 record, ranked 111th in our power rankings. They have just a 3.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Aztecs are 1-3 at home and 1-3 on the road this season.

Against the spread, San Diego State is 4-4, with a -5.1 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 3-3 ATS as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points. San Diego State’s games have averaged 48.7 points, and their average over/under line has been 52.2 points, with a 3-5 record against the total.

Aztecs Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, San Diego State’s offense is averaging 21.8 points per game, ranking 80th nationally. In our offensive power rankings, they sit at 126th. Quarterback Danny O'Neil has thrown for 1,590 yards, completing 60.8% of his passes, with nine touchdowns and four interceptions. The Aztecs are 49th in both passing attempts and completions per game, averaging 205 passing yards per game.

O'Neil’s passer rating is 85. On third downs, San Diego State converts just 34.8% of the time. They are 103rd in rushing, with 126.2 yards per game. Marquez Cooper leads the ground game with 965 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Louis Brown IV has 417 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Aztecs Team Defense

San Diego State's defense has struggled this season, allowing 26.9 points per game. In their recent game against New Mexico, they gave up 21 points and 476 total yards, including 301 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 185.3 rushing yards per game and 223.7 passing yards against the Aztecs. Quarterbacks have completed 63.8% of their passes, with a passer rating of 94.7.

Rebels Preview:

Against the spread, San Diego State is 4-4, with a -5.1 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 3-3 ATS as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points. San Diego State’s games have averaged 48.7 points, and their average over/under line has been 52.2 points, with a 3-5 record against the total.

Rebels Offense Breakdown

UNLV’s offense has been a top-ten scoring unit this season, ranking 7th in the nation with 39.8 points per game. They are 8th in rushing, averaging 249.8 yards per game on 42.6 attempts. Quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams has a passer rating of 114, with 1,192 yards, 13 touchdowns, and three interceptions.

Jai'Den Thomas leads the rushing attack with 508 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Ricky White III has caught 58 passes for 799 yards and 10 touchdowns. UNLV is 39th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.

Rebels Team Defense

UNLV’s defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 26th nationally by allowing just 112.6 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Hawaii, they gave up only 93 rushing yards on 30 attempts. However, the secondary has struggled, allowing 282 passing yards and three touchdowns, though they did manage one interception.

Opponents have averaged a 56.4% completion rate and a passer rating of 72.4 against UNLV, which ranks 28th in the country. On average, UNLV’s defense has faced 40.9 pass attempts per game, allowing 271.3 passing yards per game, and they rank 45th in the nation, giving up 23.8 points per game.

Aztecs vs Rebels Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, San Diego State has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 20 points per game.
Across the UNLV Rebels last ten home games, the team averaged 36 points per game while allowing 24. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 8-2, while going 9-1 straight-up.
Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the San Diego State Aztecs have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
The last ten games that UNLV was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.