Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers Matchup

Check out our free Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers pick and preview for this CFB week 12 game in West Lafayette. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 12 CFB matchup.

Penn State is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against Purdue, set to kick off at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th, at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette. The game will be broadcast on CBS, and the over/under line is currently at 50.5 points. The Nittany Lions are 8-1 on the season, while Purdue comes in with a 1-8 record.

Nittany Lions vs. Boilermakers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Penn State Nittany Lions at Purdue Boilermakers
Where: West Lafayette at Ross-Ade Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 16th
Betting Odds PENNST -28.5, PENNST -8214 | PUR +1984 O/U 50.5

Nittany Lions Preview:

At 8-1, Penn State is ranked 8th in our power rankings heading into Week 12 against Purdue. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and an 80.7% shot at making the CFB playoff, which is the 5th best odds in the country.

Penn State is 5-1 at home and 2-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in seven of their nine games, going 7-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +17.2, and they are 4-4 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 50.5 points. Penn State’s games have averaged 45.2 points, with an average line of 49.8. Their over/under record is 1-7, with games falling short of the line by an average of 4.6 points.

Nittany Lions Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, Penn State’s offense ranks 36th in points per game, averaging 31.2, but they are 10th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is producing 197.8 yards per game on 37.4 attempts.

Kaytron Allen leads the team with 634 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 2,006 yards and has a passer rating of 110, with 13 touchdowns and five interceptions.

Nittany Lions Team Defense

Penn State's defense has been a standout unit this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 14 points per game. They’ve also limited opponents to 103.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 15th, and 169.2 passing yards per game, placing them 20th in the country.

In their recent game against Washington, Penn State’s defense gave up only 6 points and 193 total yards. They held Washington to 74 rushing yards on 33 attempts and 119 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

Boilermakers Preview:

Boilermakers Offense Breakdown

Purdue’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 102nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. They are averaging just 18 points per game, placing them 92nd in the nation. Their third-down conversion rate is only 33%, and they are 112th in passing yards, with 177.1 yards per game.

Hudson Card leads the team with 1,113 passing yards and a passer rating of 83. He has thrown eight touchdowns and five interceptions. Devin Mockobee has rushed for 612 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jaron Tibbs leads the receivers with 232 yards and two touchdowns.

Boilermakers Team Defense

Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 37.8 points per game, ranking them 99th nationally. In their recent 45-0 loss to Ohio State, they gave up 433 total yards, including 260 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.

Opponents have averaged 201 rushing yards per game against Purdue, while quarterbacks have posted a 103.9 passer rating, completing 64.1% of their passes and averaging 245.1 passing yards per game.

Nittany Lions vs Boilermakers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last five road contests, Penn State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 37 points per game.
Through their last five home games, Purdue has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 0-5 while averaging 18 points per game.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Purdue Boilermakers have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
As the betting favorite, the Penn State Nittany Lions have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Penn State posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.