Check out our free Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs North Carolina Tar Heels pick and preview for this CFB week 12 game in Chapel Hill. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 12 CFB matchup.
North Carolina is favored at -10.5 points as they host Wake Forest in an Atlantic Coast matchup this Saturday, November 16th. The game, set for 8:00 ET, will be played at Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill and broadcast on ACCN. The over/under line is currently at 64.5 points. The Tar Heels have a 5-4 record, while the Demon Deacons are 4-5 on the season.
Demon Deacons vs. Tar Heels Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: CFB
- Teams: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at North Carolina Tar Heels
- Where: Chapel Hill at Kenan Memorial Stadium
- Date: Saturday, November 16th
- Betting Odds NCAR -10.5, WAKE +319 | NCAR -434 O/U 64.5
Demon Deacons Preview:
Wake Forest enters Week 12 with a 4-5 record, facing North Carolina. They’ve been perfect on the road at 3-0 but have struggled at home, going 0-5. Currently ranked 88th in our power rankings, they have just a 7.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Demon Deacons have been favored in three games this season, holding a 2-1 record as the favorite.
Wake Forest’s ATS record stands at 2-4-2, with a 2-0-1 mark on the road and 0-4-1 at home. Their average scoring margin is -4.6 points per game, and they’ve gone 1-1-1 against the spread as the favorite and 1-3-1 as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 64.5 points. Wake Forest’s games have averaged 60.8 points, with an average over/under line of 57.4 points. Their over/under record is 4-3-1, with only one game featuring a higher line than this week’s total.
Demon Deacons Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 12, Wake Forest's offense ranks 50th in scoring, averaging 28.1 points per game. They are 58th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, with 259.4 yards per game, ranking 29th in passing attempts.
Hank Bachmeier leads the team with 2,232 passing yards and a 61.5% completion rate. He has 14 touchdowns but also nine interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 87. On the ground, Demond Claiborne has 824 rushing yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Taylor Morin leads the receivers with 606 yards on 48 catches.
Demon Deacons Team Defense
Wake Forest's defense has struggled this season, giving up an average of 32.7 points per game. In their latest matchup, a 46-36 loss to California, they allowed 46 points and 501 total yards, including 385 passing yards. California completed 40 of 56 passes against Wake Forest's defense, though Wake did manage to force one interception.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 99.5 passer rating and 298.6 passing yards per game against Wake Forest, completing 69.9% of their throws. On the ground, Wake Forest has allowed 150.9 rushing yards per game, facing an average of 32.9 rushing attempts per game, which ranks 43rd fewest in the country.
Tar Heels Preview:
Wake Forest enters Week 12 with a 4-5 record, facing North Carolina. They’ve been perfect on the road at 3-0 but have struggled at home, going 0-5. Currently ranked 88th in our power rankings, they have just a 7.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Demon Deacons have been favored in three games this season, holding a 2-1 record as the favorite.
Wake Forest’s ATS record stands at 2-4-2, with a 2-0-1 mark on the road and 0-4-1 at home. Their average scoring margin is -4.6 points per game, and they’ve gone 1-1-1 against the spread as the favorite and 1-3-1 as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 64.5 points. Wake Forest’s games have averaged 60.8 points, with an average over/under line of 57.4 points. Their over/under record is 4-3-1, with only one game featuring a higher line than this week’s total.
Tar Heels Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 12, North Carolina’s offense is averaging 34 points per game, placing them 24th in the nation. They are ranked 38th in our offensive power rankings. The Tar Heels have leaned on their ground game, averaging 202 rushing yards per game on 40.1 attempts.
Omarion Hampton leads the rushing attack with 1,178 yards and 13 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Jacolby Criswell has thrown for 1,871 yards and 11 touchdowns, with three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 94. J.J. Jones is the leading receiver with 493 yards and four touchdowns.
Tar Heels Team Defense
North Carolina's defense put together a strong performance in their 35-11 win over Florida State, allowing just 11 points and forcing two interceptions. They held the Seminoles to 208 total yards, including 88 passing yards on 10 completions, while giving up 120 rushing yards on 43 attempts.
For the season, the Tar Heels rank 56th in the nation, allowing 132 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed just 53.7% of their passes against North Carolina, the 14th-lowest percentage in the country, averaging 235.2 passing yards per game.
Demon Deacons vs Tar Heels Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- Wake Forest has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 28 points per game while allowing 24. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-0-1.
- Through their last five home contests, the North Carolina Tar Heels offense has averaged 25 points per game while allowing an average of 18. North Carolina posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-2-1 ATS.
- As the betting underdog, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons have an ATS mark of just 3-6-1 in their last ten games. Wake Forest posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
- The last ten games that North Carolina was favored, they have an ATS mark of 2-7-1 while going 6-4 straight up.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs North Carolina Tar Heels Free Pick
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Pick: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +10.5 Be sure to check out our other CFB Football betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.
