New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Matchup

Check out our free New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in San Diego. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

At 10:30 ET, San Diego State Aztecs will host the New Mexico Lobos at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. The Aztecs are the -3 point spread favorites in this week 11 college football matchup. Both teams come in with a 3-5 record for the season. The over/under line is currently at 67.5 points for this game. FS1 will be handling the television broadcast.

Lobos vs. Aztecs Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: New Mexico Lobos at San Diego State Aztecs
Where: San Diego at Snapdragon Stadium
Date: Friday, November 8th
Betting Odds SDST -3, NMX +130 | SDST -155 O/U 67.5

Lobos Preview:

New Mexico enters Week 11 with a 3-6 record, facing San Diego State. They are ranked 116th in our power rankings and have just a 1.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Lobos are 1-2 at home and 2-3 on the road this season.

New Mexico is 4-4 against the spread, with a 3-2 record on the road and 1-2 at home. They’ve been favored in four games, going 3-1 ATS as the favorite. Their average scoring margin this season is -6 points per game.

The over/under line for this week is 67.5 points. New Mexico’s games have averaged 75.6 points, and their over/under record is 6-2. The average line for their games has been 61.2 points, with an average margin of +15.5 points over the line.

Lobos Offense Breakdown

New Mexico’s offense has been driven by their rushing attack, ranking 5th nationally with 232 rushing yards per game. Eli Sanders leads the team with 661 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns. The Lobos are 23rd in scoring, putting up 34.8 points per game, and they are 37th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Devon Dampier has thrown for 2,243 yards, but New Mexico’s passing game has been inconsistent, with Dampier throwing 12 interceptions and posting a passer rating of 75. The Lobos are 23rd in passing attempts per game. Luke Wysong leads the receivers with 663 yards on 50 catches, but he has only one touchdown this season.

Lobos Team Defense

New Mexico's defense has struggled this season, ranking 101st in the nation by allowing 40.8 points per game. In their recent game against Wyoming, they gave up 49 points, surrendering 606 total yards, including 342 passing yards and 264 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 238 rushing yards per game against New Mexico, ranking them 176th nationally. The Lobos have faced 40.4 rushing attempts per game and 28.7 passing attempts, allowing a 62.9% completion rate and 255.1 passing yards per game.

Aztecs Preview:

Aztecs Offense Breakdown

San Diego State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 22.5 points per game, placing them 123rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 31.3%, and they rank 107th in rushing, averaging 123.8 yards per game. Quarterback Danny O'Neil has thrown for 1,395 yards with a passer rating of 85.

O'Neil has eight touchdowns and four interceptions this season. The Aztecs are 60th in passing attempts per game. Leading rusher Marquez Cooper has 842 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Louis Brown IV leads the receivers with 379 yards and two touchdowns.

Aztecs Team Defense

San Diego State's defense has struggled this season, allowing 27.6 points per game. In their recent matchup against Boise State, they gave up 56 points, including 541 total yards. Boise State threw for 322 yards and four touchdowns, while also rushing for 219 yards.

Opponents have averaged 170.9 rushing yards per game against San Diego State, ranking them 118th nationally. The Aztecs have also allowed 229.8 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 63.5% of their passes.

Lobos vs Aztecs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last three road contests, New Mexico has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 35 points per game.
When looking at their past five home matchups, San Diego State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
As the betting underdog, the New Mexico Lobos have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. New Mexico posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the San Diego State Aztecs have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.