NC State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels Matchup

Check out our free NC State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels pick and preview for this CFB week 14 game in Chapel Hill. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 14 CFB matchup.

At 3:30 ET, the North Carolina Tar Heels and NC State Wolfpack will face off at Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels are the -3.5 point favorites as the home team. The over/under line is currently at 55.5 points. This will be the week 14 matchup for these two teams, with the Tar Heels holding a 6-5 record and the Wolfpack at 5-6. The game is being broadcast on ACCN.

Wolfpack vs. Tar Heels Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: NC State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels
Where: Chapel Hill at Kenan Memorial Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 30th
Betting Odds NCAR -3.5, NCST +140 | NCAR -167 O/U 55.5

Wolfpack Preview:

NC State enters Week 14 with a 5-6 record, facing North Carolina. They have a 34.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 3-4 at home and 1-2 on the road. The Wolfpack have been favored in five games this season, going 3-2 as the favorite.

NC State’s ATS record stands at 3-7, with a 1-6 mark at home and 2-1 on the road. Their average scoring margin is -1.9 points per game, and they are 1-4 against the spread as the favorite.

Their over/under record is 7-3, with an average line of 49.6 points. This week’s line is set at 55.5 points, and NC State games have averaged 59.2 points per contest.

Wolfpack Offense Breakdown

NC State’s offense ranks 99th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14, averaging 28.6 points per game, which places them 51st nationally. Their rushing attack has been underwhelming, with just 134.8 yards per game, ranking 94th. Leading rusher Jordan Waters has 410 yards and four touchdowns this season.

Quarterback CJ Bailey has thrown for 1,940 yards, leading NC State’s passing game. He has 12 touchdowns and eight interceptions, with a passer rating of 89. The Wolfpack rank 48th in passing attempts per game and 37th in completions. They are converting 38.1% of their third-down opportunities. KC Concepcion leads the team with 415 receiving yards and five touchdowns.

Wolfpack Team Defense

NC State's defense will look to improve after allowing 30 points in their recent 30-29 loss to Georgia Tech. They gave up 391 total yards, including 272 passing yards, though they did manage to force an interception. On the ground, Georgia Tech ran the ball 36 times for 119 yards.

This season, NC State is ranked 120th nationally, allowing 238 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 61.6% of their passes and have a passer rating of 89 against the Wolfpack. On the ground, NC State is giving up 141.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 70th in the country.

Tar Heels Preview:

NC State’s ATS record stands at 3-7, with a 1-6 mark at home and 2-1 on the road. Their average scoring margin is -1.9 points per game, and they are 1-4 against the spread as the favorite.

Their over/under record is 7-3, with an average line of 49.6 points. This week’s line is set at 55.5 points, and NC State games have averaged 59.2 points per contest.

Tar Heels Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 14, North Carolina’s offense is averaging 32.5 points per game, placing them 31st in scoring. They are ranked 56th in our offensive power rankings. The Tar Heels have focused on their ground game, averaging 189.7 rushing yards per game on 39.7 attempts.

Omarion Hampton leads the rushing attack with 1,475 yards and 14 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Jacolby Criswell has thrown for 2,179 yards, 12 touchdowns, and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 87. J.J. Jones leads the team’s receivers with 551 yards and five touchdowns.

Tar Heels Team Defense

North Carolina's defense has struggled this season, allowing 27.5 points per game. In their recent loss to Boston College, they gave up 41 points and 422 total yards. Boston College ran the ball 51 times for 230 yards and three touchdowns, while also passing for 192 yards.

Opponents have averaged 231.7 passing yards per game against North Carolina, completing 55.9% of their throws. The Tar Heels rank 65th nationally in rushing defense, allowing 139.4 yards per game on the ground.

Wolfpack vs Tar Heels Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road contests, the NC State Wolfpack offense has averaged 24 points per game while allowing an average of 26. NC State posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 5-5 ATS.
When looking at their past ten home matchups, North Carolina has an ATS record of 3-6-1 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the NC State Wolfpack have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the North Carolina Tar Heels have a strong record of 2-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.