Navy Midshipmen vs South Florida Bulls Matchup

Check out our free Navy Midshipmen vs South Florida Bulls pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Tampa. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

ESPN2 will be covering the week 11 matchup between the Navy Midshipmen and South Florida Bulls, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. Navy comes in with a 6-2 record, while South Florida is 4-4 on the season. The Midshipmen are favored by -3.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 57.5 points.

Midshipmen vs. Bulls Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Navy Midshipmen at South Florida Bulls
Where: Tampa at Raymond James Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds NAVY -3.5, NAVY -163 | SFL +137 O/U 57.5

Midshipmen Preview:

Navy enters Week 11 against South Florida with a 6-2 record, already bowl-eligible according to projections. They are 3-1 on the road and rank 73rd in our power rankings. The Midshipmen have been favored in five of their eight games this season, going 4-1 as the favorite.

Their ATS record stands at 5-2, with a +12.5 average scoring margin. Navy is 4-1 against the spread as the favorite and has covered in three of four home games.

Navy’s over/under record is 6-1, with their games averaging 60.8 points. This week’s line is set at 57.5 points, significantly higher than their average line of 48.5 points.

Midshipmen Offense Breakdown

Navy’s offense is averaging 36.6 points per game, ranking 16th in the nation, and they are 12th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their rushing attack is the strength of the offense, with 252.2 yards per game on 44.2 attempts, placing them 6th in the country in rushing yards.

Blake Horvath leads the passing game with 1,096 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 110. Navy is 23rd in passer rating nationally, but they rank 121st in passing yards per game, averaging 146.8 yards. Eli Heidenreich leads the team in rushing with 231 yards and averages 6 yards per carry.

Midshipmen Team Defense

Navy's defense has allowed an average of 24.1 points per game this season, ranking 37th nationally. In their recent game against Rice, they gave up 24 points, allowing 349 total yards, including 239 passing yards and 110 rushing yards. Navy's defense also forced one interception in the game.

Opponents are averaging 223.5 passing yards per game against Navy, completing 57.8% of their passes, while the defense ranks 120th in the country against the run, giving up 171.9 rushing yards per game on average.

Bulls Preview:

Their ATS record stands at 5-2, with a +12.5 average scoring margin. Navy is 4-1 against the spread as the favorite and has covered in three of four home games.

Navy’s over/under record is 6-1, with their games averaging 60.8 points. This week’s line is set at 57.5 points, significantly higher than their average line of 48.5 points.

Bulls Offense Breakdown

South Florida’s offense ranks 97th in our power rankings heading into week 11, and they are averaging 27.5 points per game, which places them 57th nationally. Their rushing attack has been the stronger aspect of their offense, averaging 174.8 yards per game on 37.5 attempts.

Kelley Joiner leads the Bulls’ ground game with 453 rushing yards, seven touchdowns, and an impressive 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Byrum Brown has thrown for 836 yards and has two touchdowns, but he has not thrown an interception this season. Brown’s passer rating is 82. Sean Atkins leads the team with 415 receiving yards.

Bulls Team Defense

South Florida's defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 28.9 points per game. In their recent game against Florida Atlantic, they gave up 21 points but still managed to win 44-21. The defense allowed 485 total yards, including 306 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 293.8 passing yards per game against South Florida, ranking them 167th nationally. Quarterbacks have completed 63.3% of their passes, while the Bulls have allowed 144.2 rushing yards per game.

Midshipmen vs Bulls Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last three road games, Navy has averaged 28 points per game while allowing 16. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
In their last ten games at home, the South Florida Bulls have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 33 points per game in this stretch.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the underdog, the South Florida Bulls have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Navy Midshipmen have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.