Liberty Flames vs Sam Houston Bearkats Matchup

Check out our free Liberty Flames vs Sam Houston Bearkats pick and preview for this CFB week 14 game in Huntsville. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 14 CFB matchup.

Liberty Flames vs. Sam Houston Bearkats is set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Elliot T. Bowers Stadium in Huntsville. The game is being broadcast on CBSS, and Liberty comes in with an 8-2 record, while Sam Houston is 8-3. The over/under line is currently 47.5 points, and Liberty is the -2.5-point favorite on the road. The money line odds are -137 for Liberty and +114 for Sam Houston.

Flames vs. Bearkats Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Liberty Flames at Sam Houston Bearkats
Where: Huntsville at Elliot T. Bowers Stadium
Date: Friday, November 29th
Betting Odds LIBRTY -2.5, LIBRTY -137 | SMHO +114 O/U 47.5

Flames Preview:

Liberty heads into Week 14 with an 8-2 record and a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. They’ve gone 3-1 at home and 2-0 on the road this season. The Flames have a 15.4% chance of winning the Conference USA title, according to projections.

Liberty has been favored in six of their ten games, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +8.4 points per game, and they are 3-3 against the spread this season.

This week’s over/under line is set at 47.5 points. Liberty’s games have averaged 55.6 points, with their average over/under line at 56.1 points. They have a 2-3-1 record against the over/under this season.

Flames Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 14, Liberty’s offense is averaging 29.1 points per game, ranking 48th in the nation. They are 70th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is their strength, with 244.2 rushing yards per game, placing them 7th nationally. They also rank 10th in rushing attempts, averaging 42 per game.

Quinton Cooley leads the ground attack with 1,164 rushing yards, 13 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. On third downs, Liberty has been efficient, converting 48.8% of their attempts, which ranks 9th in the country.

Flames Team Defense

Liberty’s defense has allowed 21.5 points per game this season, ranking 30th nationally. In their recent game against Western Kentucky, they gave up 21 points but also forced three interceptions. The Flames allowed 369 total yards, including 262 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 154.7 rushing yards per game against Liberty, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 87.9 and averaged 201.7 passing yards per game.

Bearkats Preview:

Liberty has been favored in six of their ten games, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +8.4 points per game, and they are 3-3 against the spread this season.

Bearkats Offense Breakdown

Sam Houston’s offense has been heavily reliant on their run game, ranking 8th in rushing attempts and averaging 197.6 yards per game, placing them 26th nationally. Jay Ducker leads the team with 623 rushing yards, 7 touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Overall, Sam Houston is scoring 23.5 points per game, and they are ranked 111th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14.

Quarterback Hunter Watson has thrown for 1,396 yards with 9 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 79. Sam Houston ranks 121st in passing yards per game. Simeon Evans is the leading receiver with 391 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Bearkats Team Defense

Sam Houston’s defense, ranked 21st nationally, has allowed 20.2 points per game this season. They’ve given up 182.4 passing yards per game, ranking 27th, and 139 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a 77.9 passer rating against Sam Houston, completing 61.3% of their passes.

In their recent game against Jacksonville State, Sam Houston allowed 278 rushing yards on 58 attempts but limited the passing game to just 54 yards on 12 attempts.

Flames vs Bearkats Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Liberty Flames last five road games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 29. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 3-2 straight-up.
Across the Sam Houston Bearkats last five home games, the team averaged 19 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 3-2 straight-up.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Sam Houston Bearkats have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
As the betting favorite, the Liberty Flames have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Liberty posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.