Florida State Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Matchup

Check out our free Florida State Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Notre Dame. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

Notre Dame is favored by -26 points as they host Florida State at Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday, November 9th. Kick-off is set for 7:30 ET, and the game will be broadcast on NBC. The over/under line is currently at 42.5 points. The Fighting Irish are 7-1 on the season, while the Seminoles are looking to improve on their 1-8 record.

Seminoles vs. Fighting Irish Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Florida State Seminoles at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Where: Notre Dame at Notre Dame Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds ND -26, FLST +1500 | ND -4402 O/U 42.5

Seminoles Preview:

Florida State enters Week 11 with a 1-8 record, facing Notre Dame. They are ranked 75th in our power rankings and have a 0.0% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Seminoles are 1-4 on the road and 0-4 at home this season.

They have been favored in four of their nine games, going 1-3 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -12.9 points per game, and they are 3-6 against the spread this year.

Florida State’s over/under record is 1-8, with their games averaging 41.8 points. The average over/under line this season has been 49.6 points, and this week’s line is set at 42.5 points.

Seminoles Offense Breakdown

Florida State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 14.4 points per game, which ranks 104th in the nation. They are also 121st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their third-down conversion rate is a low 25.8%, and their rushing attack is producing only 81.9 yards per game.

DJ Uiagalelei leads the Seminoles with 1,065 passing yards and a passer rating of 67. He has thrown four touchdowns and six interceptions. Florida State ranks 40th in passing attempts per game, averaging 30.8. Leading receiver Ja'Khi Douglas has 404 yards and three touchdowns this season.

Seminoles Team Defense

Florida State’s defense has struggled this season, giving up 27.3 points per game. In their recent game against North Carolina, they allowed 35 points, including four rushing touchdowns, while surrendering 500 total yards, with 289 yards on the ground.

Opponents have averaged 197 rushing yards per game against Florida State, and quarterbacks have posted a 101.6 passer rating, completing 63.8% of their passes for an average of 201.3 yards per game.

Fighting Irish Preview:

They have been favored in four of their nine games, going 1-3 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -12.9 points per game, and they are 3-6 against the spread this year.

Florida State’s over/under record is 1-8, with their games averaging 41.8 points. The average over/under line this season has been 49.6 points, and this week’s line is set at 42.5 points.

Fighting Irish Offense Breakdown

Notre Dame’s offense is averaging 36.6 points per game, placing them 16th nationally as they head into week 11. They are also ranked 23rd in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is their strength, averaging 217.4 yards per game.

Jeremiyah Love leads the ground game with 564 rushing yards, nine touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Riley Leonard has thrown for 1,360 yards with eight touchdowns and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 92.

Fighting Irish Team Defense

Notre Dame's defense has been impressive this season, ranking 4th nationally by allowing just 12.1 points per game. In their recent game against Navy, they gave up only 14 points and forced two interceptions. Navy managed 260 total yards, including 140 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 120 passing yards.

Opposing quarterbacks have struggled against Notre Dame, posting a passer rating of 57.4, the 6th-lowest in the country. The defense has allowed just 156.1 passing yards per game (9th) and a completion rate of 49.7%, which ranks 4th nationally.

Seminoles vs Fighting Irish Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last five road contests, the Florida State Seminoles offense has averaged 18 points per game while allowing an average of 28. Florida State posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.
When looking at their past three matchups at home, Notre Dame has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 49 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Florida State has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
Notre Dame has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.