Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack Matchup

Check out our free Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Raleigh. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

At 3:30 ET, the Duke Blue Devils and NC State Wolfpack will face off at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh. You can catch the action on ACCN as the Wolfpack, with a -3 point spread, look to pick up the win at home. The over/under line is currently sitting at 50.5 points. Duke comes in with a 6-3 record, while NC State is 5-4 on the season.

Blue Devils vs. Wolfpack Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Duke Blue Devils at NC State Wolfpack
Where: Raleigh at Carter-Finley Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds NCST -3, DUKE +131 | NCST -158 O/U 50.5

Blue Devils Preview:

Duke enters Week 11 with a 6-3 record, but they have no chance of winning the Atlantic Coast, according to projections. However, they are guaranteed bowl eligibility. On the road, Duke is 1-2, while they are 3-0 at home. So far, they have been favored in three games, going 3-0 as the favorite.

The Blue Devils have a +4.1 average scoring margin this season, and their ATS record stands at 3-2-1. At home, they are 2-1 against the spread, and they’ve gone 1-1-1 on the road. As the favorite, Duke is 2-1 ATS.

Duke’s over/under record is 2-4, with their games averaging 49 points. This week’s line is set at 50.5 points, slightly higher than their average over/under line of 49 points.

Blue Devils Offense Breakdown

Duke’s offense has been heavily reliant on their passing game, ranking 18th in passing attempts per game. They are 23rd in completions, averaging 236.4 yards per game through the air. Maalik Murphy has thrown for 2,121 yards and 20 touchdowns, though he has 8 interceptions and a passer rating of 89.

Duke is 61st in scoring, averaging 26.6 points per game, and they rank 83rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their third-down conversion rate is just 31%, and they are 106th in rushing, averaging 110.8 yards per game. Star Thomas has 706 rushing yards this season.

Blue Devils Team Defense

Despite ranking 46th nationally in points allowed at 22.4 per game, Duke's defense struggled in their recent matchup against Miami, giving up 53 points. They allowed 530 total yards, including 400 passing yards and five touchdowns through the air, though they did manage to force one interception.

On average, Duke has allowed 157.2 rushing yards per game and 192.6 passing yards, ranking 46th in the nation. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 57.6% of their passes and have a passer rating of 73.3 against Duke’s defense, which ranks 27th nationally.

Wolfpack Preview:

Duke’s over/under record is 2-4, with their games averaging 49 points. This week’s line is set at 50.5 points, slightly higher than their average over/under line of 49 points.

Wolfpack Offense Breakdown

NC State’s offense is averaging 29.7 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 45th in the nation. Our power rankings have them 90th overall. Their passing game is the strength of the offense, ranking 24th in completions and averaging 246.7 yards per game. They are 12th in completion percentage, connecting on 68.5% of their passes.

CJ Bailey has thrown for 1,609 yards, completing 69.5% of his passes, with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. His passer rating is 106. On the ground, NC State is averaging 127.3 rushing yards per game. Jordan Waters leads the team with 375 yards and four rushing touchdowns.

Wolfpack Team Defense

NC State's defense has allowed an average of 30.8 points per game this season, ranking 84th nationally. In their recent game against Stanford, they gave up 28 points, allowing 398 total yards, including 225 rushing yards on 39 attempts and 173 passing yards, while also securing an interception.

Opponents have averaged 233.4 passing yards per game against NC State, completing 60.6% of their passes. The defense has faced the 34th fewest rushing attempts nationally, allowing 155.7 rushing yards per game.

Blue Devils vs Wolfpack Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their three previous road games, Duke has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 30 points per game.
In their last ten games at home, the NC State Wolfpack have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
The last ten games that Duke was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 3-7 straight up.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the NC State Wolfpack have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 9-1.