Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos Matchup

Check out our free Western Michigan Broncos vs Bowling Green Falcons pick and preview for this CFB week 12 game in Bowling Green. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 12 CFB matchup.

ESPN2 will be covering the 7:00 ET kickoff as the Bowling Green Falcons host the Western Michigan Broncos in a week 12 matchup. Both teams are 5-4 on the season, and the Falcons are favored at -8.5 points. The money line odds have the Falcons at -335 and the Broncos at +259, with the over/under line set at 58 points for this game at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green.

Broncos vs. Falcons Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: CFB
  • Teams: Western Michigan Broncos at Bowling Green Falcons
  • Where: Bowling Green at Doyt L. Perry Stadium
  • Date: Tuesday, November 12th
  • Betting Odds BOWLGR -8.5, WMICH +259 | BOWLGR -335 O/U 58

Broncos Preview:

Western Michigan enters Week 12 against Bowling Green with a 5-4 record, ranked 108th in our power rankings. They have an 86.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, they are 2-3, while their home record stands at 2-1 this season.

The Broncos have been favored in three games this season, going 3-0 when they are the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -1.3 points per game, and they are 4-4 against the spread.

Western Michigan’s over/under record is 6-2, with their games averaging 68 points. This week’s line is set at 58 points, compared to their average line of 54.2 points.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Western Michigan’s offense is averaging 33.3 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 29th in the nation. They are also ranked 40th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is their strength, averaging 212.2 yards per game, which ranks 21st nationally. Jaden Nixon leads the ground game with 847 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, and an impressive 7 yards per carry.

Quarterback Hayden Wolff has thrown for 1,765 yards and has 16 touchdowns with five interceptions. He has a passer rating of 107 and has completed 66.7% of his passes. Western Michigan ranks 97th in passing yards per game, averaging 197.6 yards.

Broncos Team Defense

Western Michigan's defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.7 points per game. In their recent game against Northern Illinois, they gave up 42 points, including 258 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 156 passing yards.

On average, the Broncos have allowed 183.4 rushing yards per game and 246.2 passing yards, ranking 131st in the nation. Opposing quarterbacks have posted a 105.6 passer rating and completed 65.1% of their passes against Western Michigan’s defense.

Falcons Preview:

Western Michigan enters Week 12 against Bowling Green with a 5-4 record, ranked 108th in our power rankings. They have an 86.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, they are 2-3, while their home record stands at 2-1 this season.

The Broncos have been favored in three games this season, going 3-0 when they are the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -1.3 points per game, and they are 4-4 against the spread.

Western Michigan’s over/under record is 6-2, with their games averaging 68 points. This week’s line is set at 58 points, compared to their average line of 54.2 points.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 26.7 points per game, placing them 57th nationally. They are ranked 64th in our offensive power rankings. Connor Bazelak leads the passing attack with 2,022 yards and a passer rating of 98. He has completed 68.2% of his passes, throwing 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.

Bowling Green ranks 41st in passing completions, averaging 20.2 per game, and 71st in passing yards with 227.8 per game. They convert 37.8% of their third downs. Terion Stewart leads the rushing game with 679 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry and scoring five touchdowns. Malcolm Johnson Jr. has 375 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Falcons Team Defense

Bowling Green's defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 27th in the nation by allowing just 21 points per game. They are particularly effective against the pass, giving up only 168.3 yards per game, which ranks 19th nationally. Opposing quarterbacks have completed just 55.1% of their passes and have a passer rating of 80.2 against Bowling Green.

In their recent game against Central Michigan, Bowling Green’s defense allowed just 13 points and 250 total yards. They gave up 187 rushing yards on 38 carries but limited Central Michigan to just 63 passing yards on 14 attempts.

Broncos vs Falcons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Western Michigan has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 37 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Bowling Green Falcons offense has averaged 30 points per game while allowing an average of 19. Bowling Green posted an overall record of 3-0 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • The last ten games that Western Michigan was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 0-10 straight up.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Bowling Green Falcons have an overall record of 3-2 while going 0-5 against the spread.

Western Michigan Broncos vs Bowling Green Falcons Free Pick

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