Auburn Tigers vs UL Monroe Warhawks Matchup

Check out our free UL Monroe Warhawks vs Auburn Tigers pick and preview for this CFB week 12 game in Auburn. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 12 CFB matchup.

SECN is covering this week 12 non-conference matchup between the UL Monroe Warhawks and the Auburn Tigers, set to kick off at 12:45 ET from Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn. The over/under line is currently 46 points, with Auburn favored at -24. The Tigers are 3-6 on the season, while ULM comes in with a 5-4 record.

Warhawks vs. Tigers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: UL Monroe Warhawks at Auburn Tigers
Where: Auburn at Jordan-Hare Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 16th
Betting Odds AUBRN -24, LAMON +1166 | AUBRN -3361 O/U 46

Warhawks Preview:

UL Monroe enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, ranked 106th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 66.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at the Sun Belt title. The Warhawks are 3-1 at home and 1-3 on the road this season.

Against the spread, UL Monroe is 5-3, with a +4 record at home (3-1) and a 2-2 mark on the road. They’ve been favored just once this season and have an average scoring margin of -4.2 points per game.

The Warhawks’ over/under record stands at 5-3, with their games averaging 47.3 points. This week’s line is set at 46 points, compared to their average line of 48.3 points.

Warhawks Offense Breakdown

UL Monroe’s offense has leaned heavily on their rushing attack, ranking 34th in the nation in rushing attempts per game, while averaging 178 yards on the ground. Ahmad Hardy has been the focal point, amassing 917 rushing yards and scoring nine touchdowns, with an average of 5 yards per carry. The Warhawks are scoring 21.6 points per game, and we have them ranked 106th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.

The passing game has been a struggle for UL Monroe, as they are 124th in the nation in passing yards per game. Aidan Armenta has thrown for 900 yards, with seven touchdowns and six interceptions, and the team is converting just 32.8% of their third-down attempts. Armenta’s passer rating is 79. Davon Wells leads the receiving corps with 232 yards and two touchdowns.

Warhawks Team Defense

UL Monroe's defense is currently ranked 23rd in the nation against the pass, allowing just 171.7 passing yards per game. They’ve faced the 27th fewest passing attempts in the country, with opponents completing 56.5% of their throws and posting a passer rating of 76.4, which ranks 35th nationally.

In their recent game, a 38-17 loss to Texas State, UL Monroe gave up 38 points and 398 total yards, including 326 rushing yards on 54 attempts. This season, they’ve allowed an average of 203.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 155th in the country.

Tigers Preview:

The Warhawks’ over/under record stands at 5-3, with their games averaging 47.3 points. This week’s line is set at 46 points, compared to their average line of 48.3 points.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Auburn’s offense has been average this season, averaging 25.3 points per game, which ranks 62nd nationally. They are 70th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their third-down conversion rate is just 38.5%, placing them 79th in the country. On the ground, they are 61st with 169 rushing yards per game.

Jarquez Hunter leads Auburn’s rushing attack with 913 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored five touchdowns. Payton Thorne has thrown for 1,825 yards, with 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He has a passer rating of 96. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has 657 receiving yards and seven touchdowns.

Tigers Team Defense

Auburn's defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 17th nationally by allowing just 19.2 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 111 rushing yards per game, which ranks 24th in the country.

In their recent game against Vanderbilt, the defense allowed 17 points, giving up 108 rushing yards and 166 passing yards. Auburn’s secondary has held opponents to a 54.2% completion rate, ranking 19th nationally.

Warhawks vs Tigers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past ten road matchups, UL Monroe has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 13 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
When looking at their past five home matchups, Auburn has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
Looking back on the team's last five games as the underdog, the UL Monroe Warhawks have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
Looking back on the team's last three games as the favorite, the Auburn Tigers have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.