Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia State Panthers Matchup

Check out our free Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia State Panthers pick and preview for this CFB week 12 game in Atlanta. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 12 CFB matchup.

ESPN+ will be covering the week 12 matchup between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and Georgia State Panthers, set to kick off at 5:00 ET from Center Parc Stadium in Atlanta. The Panthers are the slight -1.5-point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently at 58.5 points. The Red Wolves have a 5-4 record, while the Panthers are 2-7 for the season.

Red Wolves vs. Panthers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia State Panthers
Where: Atlanta at Center Parc Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 16th
Betting Odds GAST -1.5, ARKST +104 | GAST -125 O/U 58.5

Red Wolves Preview:

Arkansas State enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, facing Georgia State. They are 3-0 at home but just 1-4 on the road. Despite being ranked 115th in our power rankings, they have a 76% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they’ve been favored in three games and are undefeated as the favorite at 3-0.

The Red Wolves have a -10.6 average scoring margin and a 3-5 record against the spread this season. At home, they are 1-2 ATS, while on the road, they’ve gone 2-3. As the favorite, they are 1-2 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is set at 58.5 points, slightly above their average line of 57.4 points. Arkansas State’s over/under record is 4-4, with their games averaging a -0.9 margin against the line.

Red Wolves Offense Breakdown

Arkansas State’s offense ranks 98th in our power rankings heading into week 12, averaging 23.4 points per game. They are 23rd in passing attempts, with 36.9 per game, and 25th in completions, averaging 22.8. Overall, they are 56th in passing yards, with 244.1 yards per game, and they have converted 40.4% of their third-down attempts.

Jaylen Raynor, the team’s quarterback, has thrown for 2,034 yards this season, completing 61.4% of his passes. He has eight touchdowns and eight interceptions, with a passer rating of 78. Leading the rushing attack is Ja'Quez Cross, who has 467 yards on the ground, averaging 5 yards per carry. Corey Rucker is the top receiver with 776 yards and three touchdowns on 53 catches.

Red Wolves Team Defense

Arkansas State's defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34 points per game. In their recent game against Louisiana, they gave up 55 points, including six rushing touchdowns, while allowing 580 total yards, with 279 rushing yards and 301 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 224 rushing yards per game against Arkansas State, ranking them 169th nationally. The defense has also allowed 243 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 65.1% of their passes, the highest completion rate allowed in the country.

Panthers Preview:

Panthers Offense Breakdown

Georgia State’s offense is averaging 20.8 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 84th in the nation. They are ranked 83rd in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is just 36.9%, and their rushing attack is producing 125.1 yards per game.

Christian Veilleux leads the passing game with 1,312 yards, and Georgia State ranks 18th in passing attempts per game. Veilleux has nine touchdowns and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 79. Ted Hurst has 606 receiving yards and eight touchdowns this season.

Panthers Team Defense

Georgia State's defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.9 points per game. In their recent 38-7 loss to James Madison, they gave up 38 points, including 211 rushing yards and 241 passing yards, while forcing no turnovers.

Opponents have averaged 205.6 rushing yards per game against Georgia State, and quarterbacks have posted a 98.7 passer rating, completing 62.8% of their throws. On average, opposing offenses have attempted 26.9 passes per game against Georgia State’s defense.

Red Wolves vs Panthers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road contests, the Arkansas State Red Wolves offense has averaged 18 points per game while allowing an average of 34. Arkansas State posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 4-6 ATS.
In their last three games at home, the Georgia State Panthers have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 20 points per game in these contests.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Georgia State Panthers have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 0-3.