Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights Matchup

Check out our free UCF Knights vs Arizona State Sun Devils pick and preview for this CFB week 11 game in Tempe. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 11 CFB matchup.

ESPN2 is covering the UCF Knights vs. Arizona State Sun Devils matchup, set to kick off at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th. The game will be played at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe. The Sun Devils are the -3 point favorites at home, and the over/under line is at 55.5 points. UCF comes in with a 4-5 record, while Arizona State is 6-2 for the season.

Knights vs. Sun Devils Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: UCF Knights at Arizona State Sun Devils
Where: Tempe at Mountain America Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds ARZST -3, UCF +126 | ARZST -151 O/U 55.5

Knights Preview:

UCF enters Week 11 with a 4-5 record, facing Arizona State. They are ranked 39th in our CFB power rankings and have a 56.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Knights are 2-3 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.

UCF’s ATS record is 4-4, with a +7.8 average scoring margin. They are 2-1 against the spread on the road and 2-3 at home. As the favorite, they’ve gone 2-3 ATS.

Their over/under record stands at 6-2, with an average line of 56.9 points. UCF games have averaged 58.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 55.5 points.

Knights Offense Breakdown

UCF’s offense is built around their rushing attack, ranking second in the nation with 272.3 rushing yards per game, and they are third in rushing attempts, averaging 44.6 per game. RJ Harvey has been the standout performer, rushing for 1,201 yards and 16 touchdowns, averaging 7 yards per carry. UCF is averaging 33.2 points per game, placing them 27th in the country, and they are 31st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

KJ Jefferson leads the passing game with 1,012 yards and a passer rating of 96. He has thrown seven touchdowns and four interceptions. UCF ranks 73rd in passing attempts and 79th in passing yards, averaging 198.8 yards per game. Kobe Hudson has 567 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season.

Knights Team Defense

UCF's defense is coming off a strong performance, allowing just 12 points in their recent game against Arizona. They held Arizona to 14 first downs and only 5 rushing yards on 25 attempts, though they did give up 256 passing yards.

On the season, UCF is ranked 42nd in the nation against the run, allowing 119.7 rushing yards per game. However, they have struggled against the pass, ranking 131st and giving up 248.2 passing yards per game.

Sun Devils Preview:

UCF’s ATS record is 4-4, with a +7.8 average scoring margin. They are 2-1 against the spread on the road and 2-3 at home. As the favorite, they’ve gone 2-3 ATS.

Their over/under record stands at 6-2, with an average line of 56.9 points. UCF games have averaged 58.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 55.5 points.

Sun Devils Offense Breakdown

Arizona State’s offense is ranked 25th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11, and they are averaging 31.1 points per game, which ranks 36th nationally. Their run game has been their strength, with 218.2 rushing yards per game on 42.1 attempts.

Cam Skattebo has rushed for 1,005 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,470 yards, 11 touchdowns, and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 97. Jordyn Tyson leads the receivers with 558 yards and five touchdowns.

Sun Devils Team Defense

Arizona State's defense has been solid this season, ranking 30th nationally by allowing just 22.9 points per game. In their recent win over Oklahoma State, they gave up 21 points while holding the Cowboys to 271 total yards, including 85 rushing yards on 23 attempts and 186 passing yards. The defense also forced an interception in the game.

On average, Arizona State has allowed 115.1 rushing yards per game, ranking 35th in the country, and 209.5 passing yards. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 58.3% of their passes and have a passer rating of 78.1 against the Sun Devils, which ranks 40th nationally.

Knights vs Sun Devils Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past ten road matchups, UCF has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
Across their ten previous home games, Arizona State has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 21 points per game.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the UCF Knights have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 5-0.
As the betting favorite, the Arizona State Sun Devils have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 5-0.